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DFB-Pokal | First Round
Sep 26, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Preussen-Stadion
Bayern logo

Preussen Munster
0 - 4
Bayern


Kankam Kyerewaa (45+3')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Maxim Choupo-Moting (9'), Laimer (40'), Kratzig (45+5'), Tel (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's DFB-Pokal clash between Preussen Munster and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Preussen Munster

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Last Game: Preussen Munster 1-3 Hertha Berlin
Tuesday, October 26 at 5.30pm in DFB-Pokal
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Bayern Munich

All competitions
Last Game: Bayern 7-0 VfL Bochum
Saturday, September 23 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Preussen Munster 0-3 Bayern Munich

 Although Bayern Munich are in fearsome form ahead of their trip to Munster, a tough league fixture coming up at the weekend means they may not go at full tilt in the DFB-Pokal. Even a much-changed team will have far too much quality for their hosts to withstand, though, and a place in the second round surely awaits. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 62.56%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Preussen Munster had a probability of 17.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.09%) and 0-1 (8.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.98%), while for a Preussen Munster win it was 2-1 (4.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Preussen MunsterDrawBayern Munich
17.71% (0.013999999999999 0.01) 19.73% (0.00099999999999767 0) 62.56% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 58.72% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.51% (0.025000000000006 0.03)36.48% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.37% (0.028999999999996 0.03)58.63% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Preussen Munster Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.11% (0.031000000000006 0.03)33.89% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.44% (0.034000000000002 0.03)70.56% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.82% (0.0049999999999955 0)11.18% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.32% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)35.67% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Preussen Munster 17.71%
    Bayern Munich 62.56%
    Draw 19.73%
Preussen MunsterDrawBayern Munich
2-1 @ 4.86% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-0 @ 4.1% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-0 @ 2.22% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.92% (0.0029999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 1.75% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 17.71%
1-1 @ 8.98% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-2 @ 5.32% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-0 @ 3.79% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.4% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 19.73%
1-2 @ 9.84% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
0-2 @ 9.09% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-1 @ 8.3% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 7.19% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-3 @ 6.64% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 3.94%
2-3 @ 3.89% (0.004 0)
0-4 @ 3.64% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-4 @ 2.13% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-5 @ 1.73%
0-5 @ 1.6%
2-5 @ 0.93% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 62.56%

How you voted: Preussen Munster vs Bayern

Preussen Munster
4.0%
Draw
8.0%
Bayern Munich
88.0%
25
Head to Head
Aug 17, 2014 3pm
First Round
Preussen Munster
1-4
Bayern
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