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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 44.92%. A win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 31.82% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.29%) and 0-2 (6.34%). The likeliest Borussia Monchengladbach win was 2-1 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Borussia Monchengladbach | Draw | Mainz 05 |
31.82% ( -0.57) | 23.26% ( -0.2) | 44.92% ( 0.76) |
Both teams to score 62.76% ( 0.44) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.42% ( 0.69) | 38.57% ( -0.7) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.13% ( 0.73) | 60.87% ( -0.73) |
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.13% ( -0) | 23.86% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.94% ( 0) | 58.05% ( -0.01) |
Mainz 05 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.43% ( 0.58) | 17.56% ( -0.59) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.89% ( 1.01) | 48.11% ( -1.01) |
Score Analysis |
Borussia Monchengladbach | Draw | Mainz 05 |
2-1 @ 7.48% ( -0.1) 1-0 @ 6.01% ( -0.2) 2-0 @ 4.3% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 3.57% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 3.11% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.06% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 1.28% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.11% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.9% Total : 31.82% | 1-1 @ 10.44% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 6.51% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 4.19% ( -0.14) 3-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.25% | 1-2 @ 9.08% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 7.29% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 6.34% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 5.27% ( 0.13) 2-3 @ 3.77% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 3.68% ( 0.09) 1-4 @ 2.29% ( 0.1) 2-4 @ 1.64% ( 0.07) 0-4 @ 1.6% ( 0.07) Other @ 3.96% Total : 44.92% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 18 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 56 | 15 | 41 | 45 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 44 | 24 | 20 | 41 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 36 |
4 | Stuttgart | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 36 | 26 | 10 | 32 |
5 | RB Leipzig | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 31 |
6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 31 | 23 | 8 | 28 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 40 | 32 | 8 | 27 |
8 | Freiburg | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 27 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 31 | 34 | -3 | 26 |
10 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 25 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 29 | -2 | 24 |
12 | Augsburg | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 22 |
13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 20 |
14 | St Pauli | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 17 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 17 |
16 | Heidenheim | 18 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 23 | 38 | -15 | 14 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 18 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 26 | 46 | -20 | 11 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 18 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 17 | 40 | -23 | 10 |
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