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Bayern logo
Champions League | Group Stage
Sep 20, 2023 at 8pm UK
Allianz Arena
Manchester United logo

Bayern
4 - 3
Man Utd

Sane (28'), Gnabry (32'), Kane (53' pen.), Tel (90+2')
Goretzka (62')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Hojlund (49'), Casemiro (88', 90+5')
Martinez (62')

The Match

Match Report

Harry Kane is on the scoresheet as Bayern Munich open their Champions League group-stage campaign with a 4-3 victory over Manchester United at Allianz Arena.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Wednesday's Champions League clash between Bayern Munich and Manchester United.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Bayern Munich and Manchester United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Bayern Munich could line up for Wednesday's Champions League clash with Manchester United.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up all of Manchester United's latest injury and suspension news ahead of their Champions League clash with Bayern Munich.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bayern 2-2 B. Leverkusen
Friday, September 15 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Man Utd 1-3 Brighton
Saturday, September 16 at 3pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 55.07%. A win for Manchester United had a probability of 24.54% and a draw had a probability of 20.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.73%) and 2-0 (6.46%). The likeliest Manchester United win was 1-2 (5.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.37%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Bayern MunichDrawManchester United
55.07% (-0.197 -0.2) 20.38% (0.029 0.03) 24.54% (0.17 0.17)
Both teams to score 67.49% (0.096000000000004 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.08% (0.042000000000002 0.04)29.92% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.91% (0.047999999999995 0.05)51.09% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.87% (-0.036999999999992 -0.04)11.13% (0.041 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.44% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)35.56% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
Manchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.93% (0.143 0.14)24.06% (-0.14 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.66% (0.204 0.2)58.34% (-0.2 -0.2)
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 55.07%
    Manchester United 24.54%
    Draw 20.38%
Bayern MunichDrawManchester United
2-1 @ 9.2% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.73% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-0 @ 6.46% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-0 @ 5.88% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-2 @ 4.79% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 4.73% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
4-1 @ 3.7% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-2 @ 2.63% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 2.59% (-0.023 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.62% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-3 @ 1.25% (0.0049999999999999 0)
5-2 @ 1.16% (-0.002 -0)
5-0 @ 1.14% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 55.07%
1-1 @ 8.37% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-2 @ 6.55% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 2.68% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-3 @ 2.28% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 20.38%
1-2 @ 5.97% (0.027 0.03)
0-1 @ 3.81% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.11% (0.022 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.83% (0.024 0.02)
0-2 @ 2.72% (0.016 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.29% (0.013 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.11% (0.012 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.01% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 24.54%

How you voted: Bayern vs Man Utd

Bayern Munich
73.4%
Draw
9.8%
Manchester United
16.8%
399
Head to Head
Aug 5, 2018 7.15pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Bayern
1-0
Man Utd
Martinez (59')
Boateng (69')
Apr 9, 2014 7.45pm
Quarter-Finals
Bayern
3-1
Man Utd
Apr 1, 2014 7.45pm
Quarter-Finals
Man Utd
1-1
Bayern
Build-up
Bayern Munich's Joshua Kimmich after the match on August 27, 2023
Bayern Munich dealt Joshua Kimmich injury concern ahead of Manchester United clash
Bayern Munich reportedly have concerns over Joshua Kimmich's fitness ahead of Wednesday's Champions League clash with Manchester United.
Sep 16, 23:32
Manchester United defender Raphael Varane on August 14, 2023
Manchester United team news: Injury, suspension list vs. Bayern Munich
Sports Mole rounds up all of Manchester United's latest injury and suspension news ahead of their Champions League clash with Bayern Munich.
Sep 17, 16:37
Bayern Munich's Joshua Kimmich after the match on August 27, 2023
How Bayern Munich could line up against Manchester United
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Bayern Munich could line up for Wednesday's Champions League clash with Manchester United.
Sep 18, 16:26
Aaron Wan-Bissaka in action for Manchester United in August 2023
How Manchester United could line up against Bayern Munich
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Manchester United could line up for Wednesday's Champions League clash with Bayern Munich.
Sep 18, 16:26
Bayern Munich striker Harry Kane on August 18, 2023
Harry Kane insists Bayern Munich must respect Manchester United despite poor form
Bayern Munich's Harry Kane admits that Manchester United are enduring a "difficult moment" but he insists that the German giants must not underestimate the Red Devils in Wednesday's Champions League showdown.
Sep 19, 00:32
Bayern Munich coach Thomas Tuchel reacts on May 13, 2023
Thomas Tuchel: 'Bayern Munich will not underestimate Manchester United'
Head coach Thomas Tuchel stresses that there is no danger of his Bayern Munich side underestimating Manchester United ahead of Wednesday's Champions League meeting.
Sep 19, 15:58
Manchester United's Harry Maguire after the match on August 14, 2023
Man United's Harry Maguire ruled out of Bayern Munich clash through injury
Manchester United defender Harry Maguire is out of the Red Devils' squad for Wednesday's Champions League opener with Bayern Munich due to an unspecified injury.
Sep 19, 18:08
Bayern Munich striker Harry Kane on August 18, 2023
Bayern Munich's Harry Kane comments on previous Manchester United links
Bayern Munich striker Harry Kane opens up on his decision to join the Bundesliga champions over Manchester United ahead of Wednesday's Champions League clash.
Sep 19, 18:28
Manchester United manager Erik ten Hag pictured on September 16, 2023
Erik ten Hag admits he is 'concerned' by Manchester United injuries
Manchester United head coach Erik ten Hag admits that the club's current injury crisis "is a concern".
Sep 19, 19:57
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Manchester CityMan City97202091123
2Liverpool97111751222
3Arsenal95311710718
4Aston Villa95311611518
5Chelsea95221911817
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton94411612416
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest9441117416
8Tottenham HotspurSpurs94141810813
9Brentford94141818013
10Fulham93331212012
11Bournemouth93331111012
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle9333910-112
13West Ham UnitedWest Ham93241316-311
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd9324811-311
15Leicester CityLeicester92341317-49
16Everton92341016-69
17Crystal Palace9135611-56
18Ipswich TownIpswich9045920-114
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves90271225-132
20Southampton9018619-131


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