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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 47.84%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 29.3% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.41%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 (7.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Bayern Munich | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
47.84% ( -0.09) | 22.85% ( -0.16) | 29.3% ( 0.25) |
Both teams to score 62.74% ( 0.77) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.03% ( 0.94) | 37.97% ( -0.94) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.77% ( 0.99) | 60.23% ( -0.99) |
Bayern Munich Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.78% ( 0.32) | 16.22% ( -0.32) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.28% ( 0.58) | 45.72% ( -0.58) |
Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.89% ( 0.63) | 25.11% ( -0.63) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.19% ( 0.87) | 59.81% ( -0.87) |
Score Analysis |
Bayern Munich | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
2-1 @ 9.31% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 7.41% ( -0.25) 2-0 @ 6.74% ( -0.16) 3-1 @ 5.65% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 4.09% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 3.9% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 2.57% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.86% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.77% ( 0.06) 5-1 @ 0.93% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.62% Total : 47.84% | 1-1 @ 10.23% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 6.43% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 4.07% ( -0.19) 3-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.31% Total : 22.84% | 1-2 @ 7.07% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 5.63% ( -0.15) 0-2 @ 3.89% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.26% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 2.96% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.13% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.55% Total : 29.3% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 31 | 25 | 6 | 0 | 77 | 22 | 55 | 81 |
2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 31 | 22 | 3 | 6 | 89 | 38 | 51 | 69 |
3 | Stuttgart | 31 | 20 | 4 | 7 | 70 | 38 | 32 | 64 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 31 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 73 | 35 | 38 | 62 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 31 | 16 | 9 | 6 | 59 | 39 | 20 | 57 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 31 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 47 | 42 | 5 | 45 |
7 | Freiburg | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 43 | 55 | -12 | 40 |
8 | Augsburg | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 48 | 52 | -4 | 39 |
9 | Hoffenheim | 31 | 11 | 6 | 14 | 55 | 63 | -8 | 39 |
10 | Heidenheim | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 44 | 52 | -8 | 37 |
11 | Werder Bremen | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 41 | 50 | -9 | 37 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 37 | 51 | -14 | 34 |
13 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 53 | 60 | -7 | 32 |
14 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 31 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 26 | 50 | -24 | 30 |
15 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 31 | 6 | 12 | 13 | 37 | 62 | -25 | 30 |
16 | Mainz 05Mainz | 31 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 32 | 49 | -17 | 28 |
17 | FC Koln | 31 | 4 | 11 | 16 | 24 | 54 | -30 | 23 |
R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 31 | 3 | 8 | 20 | 30 | 73 | -43 | 17 |
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