Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rukh Brest win with a probability of 50.24%. A win for Vitebsk had a probability of 26.67% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rukh Brest win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.46%) and 2-0 (7.63%). The likeliest Vitebsk win was 1-2 (6.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rukh Brest would win this match.