Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 39.31%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 36.19% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.89%) and 2-0 (5.96%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 1-2 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Accrington Stanley in this match.