Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 45.64%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Atletico Goianiense had a probability of 26.45%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.13%) and 2-1 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.92%), while for an Atletico Goianiense win it was 0-1 (9.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletico Paranaense would win this match.
