Brasileiro | Gameweek 21
Aug 27, 2023 at 10.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal Presidente Getulio Vargas
Fortaleza3 - 1Coritiba
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Fortaleza and Coritiba.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: America Mineiro 1-3 Fortaleza
Thursday, August 24 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Thursday, August 24 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Coritiba 2-3 Flamengo
Sunday, August 20 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, August 20 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
20
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 62.42%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Coritiba had a probability of 15.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.1%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.42%), while for a Coritiba win it was 0-1 (5.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fortaleza would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fortaleza | Draw | Coritiba |
62.42% ( -0.03) | 22.01% ( -0.09) | 15.57% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 46.46% ( 0.56) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
