MX23RW : Wednesday, January 29 21:53:09| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 20
Feb 4, 2024 at 4.30pm UK
Red Bull Arena
Union Berlin logo

RB Leipzig
2 - 0
Union Berlin

Openda (11'), Sesko (48')
Kampl (20')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Hollerbach (22'), Tousart (47')
Trimmel (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between RB Leipzig and Union Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

RB Leipzig

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Stuttgart 5-2 RB Leipzig
Saturday, January 27 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Union Berlin

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Union Berlin 1-0 Darmstadt
Sunday, January 28 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: RB Leipzig 2-1 Union Berlin

 Union Berlin have rediscovered their defensive solidity since appointing Bjelica, but their away form remains rotten this season. Leipzig, meanwhile, have struggled since returning from the winter break, but are surely too good for their disastrous form to continue much longer. As such, we expect Rose's side to return to winning ways on Sunday, but they are likely to be made to work extremely hard for their victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 69.36%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 12.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 1-0 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.36%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 1-2 (3.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for RB Leipzig in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for RB Leipzig.

Result
RB LeipzigDrawUnion Berlin
69.36% (-0.104 -0.1) 17.84% (0.125 0.13) 12.8% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)
Both teams to score 52.95% (-0.528 -0.53)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.99% (-0.649 -0.65)38.01% (0.647 0.65)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.73% (-0.693 -0.69)60.27% (0.693 0.69)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.1% (-0.2 -0.2)9.9% (0.199 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.21% (-0.459 -0.46)32.78% (0.458 0.46)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.77% (-0.456 -0.46)41.23% (0.456 0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.24% (-0.407 -0.41)77.76% (0.40599999999999 0.41)
Score Analysis
    RB Leipzig 69.36%
    Union Berlin 12.8%
    Draw 17.84%
RB LeipzigDrawUnion Berlin
2-0 @ 10.91% (0.15 0.15)
2-1 @ 9.67% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
1-0 @ 9.44% (0.21 0.21)
3-0 @ 8.42% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
3-1 @ 7.46% (-0.053999999999999 -0.05)
4-0 @ 4.87% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-1 @ 4.31% (-0.069 -0.07)
3-2 @ 3.3% (-0.066 -0.07)
5-0 @ 2.25% (-0.028 -0.03)
5-1 @ 2% (-0.049 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.91% (-0.055 -0.06)
Other @ 4.83%
Total : 69.36%
1-1 @ 8.36% (0.084000000000001 0.08)
2-2 @ 4.28% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 4.08% (0.126 0.13)
3-3 @ 0.98% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 17.84%
1-2 @ 3.7% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-1 @ 3.62% (0.068 0.07)
0-2 @ 1.6% (0.01 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.27% (-0.03 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.09% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 12.8%

How you voted: RB Leipzig vs Union Berlin

RB Leipzig
79.0%
Draw
12.9%
Union Berlin
8.1%
62
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 3
Union Berlin
0-3
RB Leipzig

Kral (27'), Gosens (80'), Haberer (81')
Volland (64')
Simons (51'), Sesko (85', 87')
Henrichs (26')
> Preview
Feb 11, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 20
RB Leipzig
1-2
Union Berlin
Henrichs (24')
Haberer (61'), Knoche (72' pen.)
> Preview
Aug 20, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 3
Union Berlin
2-1
RB Leipzig
Siebatcheu (32'), Becker (38')
Ronnow (49'), Behrens (65')
Orban (83')
Kampl (30')
> Preview
Apr 23, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 31
RB Leipzig
1-2
Union Berlin
Poulsen (46')
Olmo (87'), Adams (90+6')
Michel (86'), Behrens (89')
Behrens (90+1'), Ronnow (90+4')
> Preview
Apr 20, 2022 7.45pm
Semi-Finals
RB Leipzig
2-1
Union Berlin
Silva (61' pen.), Forsberg (90+3')
Laimer (35'), Simakan (90+4')
Becker (25')
Knoche (43'), Khedira (80'), Michel (90+5')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern19153158164248
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen19126146262042
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt19114444261837
4Stuttgart199553628832
5RB Leipzig199553429532
6Mainz 05Mainz1994633231031
7Wolfsburg198474234828
8Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach198383029127
9Werder Bremen197663336-327
10Freiburg198382636-1027
11Borussia DortmundDortmund197573433126
12Augsburg197482334-1125
13St Pauli1962111721-420
14Union BerlinUnion Berlin195591627-1120
15Hoffenheim194692537-1218
16Heidenheim1942132440-1614
17Holstein Kiel1933132848-2012
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1924131743-2610
> Bundesliga Full Table


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