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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Augsburg win with a probability of 53.92%. A win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 23.83% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Augsburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.48%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest VfL Bochum win was 1-2 (6.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Augsburg would win this match.
Result | ||
Augsburg | Draw | VfL Bochum |
53.92% ( 0.07) | 22.24% ( -0.08) | 23.83% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 59.65% ( 0.29) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.24% ( 0.38) | 39.76% ( -0.38) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.88% ( 0.4) | 62.12% ( -0.4) |
Augsburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.23% ( 0.15) | 14.76% ( -0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.99% ( 0.3) | 43.01% ( -0.3) |
VfL Bochum Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.98% ( 0.21) | 30.02% ( -0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.86% ( 0.26) | 66.14% ( -0.26) |
Score Analysis |
Augsburg | Draw | VfL Bochum |
2-1 @ 9.76% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.48% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 8.11% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 6.22% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 5.17% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.74% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2.98% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 2.47% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.79% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.14% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.12% Total : 53.92% | 1-1 @ 10.2% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.87% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 4.43% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.24% Total : 22.24% | 1-2 @ 6.14% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.33% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 3.21% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.46% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.29% Other @ 3.04% Total : 23.83% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 47 | 13 | 34 | 36 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 37 | 21 | 16 | 32 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 27 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 27 |
5 | Mainz 05Mainz | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 25 |
6 | Werder Bremen | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
7 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 20 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Freiburg | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 24 |
9 | Stuttgart | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 22 |
11 | Wolfsburg | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 21 |
12 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 17 |
13 | Augsburg | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 16 |
14 | St Pauli | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 14 |
16 | Heidenheim | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 10 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 8 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 14 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 35 | -24 | 3 |
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