MX23RW : Monday, January 20 21:55:39| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Eintracht Frankfurt logo
Freiburg logo
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 7
Oct 19, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Schwarzwald-Stadion
Augsburg logo

Freiburg
3 - 1
Augsburg

Grifo (34'), Lienhart (37'), Gunter (45+1')
Lienhart (24')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Tietz (65')
Komur (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Freiburg and Augsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Werder Bremen 0-1 Freiburg
Saturday, October 5 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Augsburg 2-1 Borussia M'bach
Friday, October 4 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Freiburg 2-1 Augsburg

Even though Augsburg have fired blanks in both 4-0 road losses this season, they are backed to find the back of the net this weekend. However, Freiburg should nick Saturday's result to continue their strong start and extend their winning record against gameweek seven's opponents on home turf. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 46.1%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 30.44% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.83%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 1-2 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.

Result
FreiburgDrawAugsburg
46.1% (1.166 1.17) 23.46% (0.015999999999998 0.02) 30.44% (-1.178 -1.18)
Both teams to score 61.27% (-0.70399999999999 -0.7)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.78% (-0.653 -0.65)40.21% (0.657 0.66)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.41% (-0.68 -0.68)62.59% (0.683 0.68)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.26% (0.20899999999999 0.21)17.74% (-0.205 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.58% (0.357 0.36)48.42% (-0.353 -0.35)
Augsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.49% (-1.044 -1.04)25.51% (1.048 1.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.65% (-1.45 -1.45)60.35% (1.455 1.46)
Score Analysis
    Freiburg 46.1%
    Augsburg 30.44%
    Draw 23.46%
FreiburgDrawAugsburg
2-1 @ 9.24% (0.125 0.13)
1-0 @ 7.83% (0.285 0.29)
2-0 @ 6.77% (0.29 0.29)
3-1 @ 5.33% (0.106 0.11)
3-0 @ 3.9% (0.192 0.19)
3-2 @ 3.64% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-1 @ 2.3% (0.061 0.06)
4-0 @ 1.69% (0.094 0.09)
4-2 @ 1.57% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.84%
Total : 46.1%
1-1 @ 10.69% (0.08 0.08)
2-2 @ 6.32% (-0.106 -0.11)
0-0 @ 4.53% (0.135 0.14)
3-3 @ 1.66% (-0.068 -0.07)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.46%
1-2 @ 7.3% (-0.172 -0.17)
0-1 @ 6.18% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 4.22% (-0.128 -0.13)
1-3 @ 3.33% (-0.183 -0.18)
2-3 @ 2.88% (-0.138 -0.14)
0-3 @ 1.92% (-0.119 -0.12)
1-4 @ 1.14% (-0.099 -0.1)
2-4 @ 0.98% (-0.079 -0.08)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 30.44%

How you voted: Freiburg vs Augsburg

Freiburg
89.7%
Draw
8.6%
Augsburg
1.7%
58
Head to Head
Feb 25, 2024 6.30pm
Gameweek 23
Augsburg
2-1
Freiburg
Uduokhai (72'), Engels (81')
Vargas (23'), Bauer (79'), Iago (89')
Grifo (19' pen.)
Hofler (79')
Oct 1, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 6
Freiburg
2-0
Augsburg
Grifo (5' pen.), Lienhart (56')
Rohl (50'), Sildillia (75')

Breithaupt (60'), Michel (84')
Jan 28, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 18
Freiburg
3-1
Augsburg
Gregoritsch (13'), Holer (30'), Lienhart (85')
Berisha (29' pen.)
Aug 6, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 1
Augsburg
0-4
Freiburg
Gregoritsch (46'), Grifo (48'), Ginter (61'), Doan (78')
Feb 19, 2022 2.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern18143156154145
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen18125144242041
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt18113442241836
4Stuttgart1895436261032
5RB Leipzig189453227531
6Mainz 05Mainz188463123828
7Wolfsburg188374032827
8Freiburg188372534-927
9Werder Bremen187563134-326
10Borussia DortmundDortmund187473231125
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach187382729-224
12Augsburg186482133-1222
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin185581624-820
14St Pauli1852111421-717
15Hoffenheim184592335-1217
16Heidenheim1842122338-1514
17Holstein Kiel1832132646-2011
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1824121740-2310


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