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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 70.79%. A draw had a probability of 16.4% and a win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 12.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.15%) and 3-1 (7.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.25%), while for a VfL Bochum win it was 1-2 (3.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stuttgart would win this match.
Result | ||
Stuttgart | Draw | VfL Bochum |
70.79% ( -1.6) | 16.38% ( 0.68) | 12.83% ( 0.93) |
Both teams to score 58.93% ( 0.35) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
69.44% ( -0.92) | 30.56% ( 0.93) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
48.14% ( -1.11) | 51.86% ( 1.11) |
Stuttgart Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.33% ( -0.54) | 7.68% ( 0.54) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
72.62% ( -1.4) | 27.38% ( 1.41) |
VfL Bochum Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.83% ( 0.75) | 36.17% ( -0.75) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.05% ( 0.76) | 72.95% ( -0.76) |
Score Analysis |
Stuttgart | Draw | VfL Bochum |
2-1 @ 9.3% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 9.15% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 7.96% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 7.83% ( -0.25) 1-0 @ 7.13% ( 0.17) 4-1 @ 5.11% ( -0.21) 4-0 @ 5.02% ( -0.31) 3-2 @ 4.05% ( 0.04) 5-1 @ 2.62% ( -0.18) 4-2 @ 2.6% ( -0.05) 5-0 @ 2.58% ( -0.24) 5-2 @ 1.33% ( -0.06) 6-1 @ 1.12% ( -0.11) 6-0 @ 1.1% ( -0.14) Other @ 3.88% Total : 70.79% | 1-1 @ 7.25% ( 0.32) 2-2 @ 4.73% ( 0.17) 0-0 @ 2.78% ( 0.14) 3-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.25% Total : 16.38% | 1-2 @ 3.69% ( 0.23) 0-1 @ 2.82% ( 0.2) 2-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 1.44% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.1) Other @ 2.04% Total : 12.83% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 42 | 12 | 30 | 33 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 29 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 27 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
5 | Freiburg | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 24 |
6 | Stuttgart | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 24 | 5 | 23 |
7 | Mainz 05Mainz | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 22 |
8 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 22 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 22 |
10 | Wolfsburg | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 21 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 21 |
12 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 17 |
13 | Augsburg | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 16 |
14 | Hoffenheim | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 14 |
15 | St Pauli | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 11 |
16 | Heidenheim | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 10 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 37 | -23 | 5 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 14 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 35 | -24 | 3 |
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