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Bundesliga | Gameweek 25
Mar 10, 2024 at 6.30pm UK
BayArena
Wolfsburg

B. Leverkusen
2 - 0
Wolfsburg

Tella (37'), Wirtz (86')
Adli (80')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Gerhardt (7'), Jenz (12')
Jenz (28')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Bayer Leverkusen and Wolfsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Qarabag 2-2 B. Leverkusen
Thursday, March 7 at 5.45pm in Europa League

Wolfsburg

All competitions
Last Game: Wolfsburg 2-3 Stuttgart
Saturday, March 2 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Bayer Leverkusen 3-0 Wolfsburg

 No team in Germany or on the continent appear capable of stopping Leverkusen at the moment, despite a wobble in midweek, and the league leaders should cruise to another victory this weekend. Wolfsburg have been leaking goals with regularity in 2024 so far, and that has contributed to the fact they are still yet to win since returning from the winter break, and they are unlikely to break that duck in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 68.13%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 14.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 1-0 (8.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.16%), while for a Wolfsburg win it was 1-2 (4.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Bayer Leverkusen in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Bayer Leverkusen.

Result
Bayer LeverkusenDrawWolfsburg
68.13% (-0.44799999999999 -0.45) 17.84% (0.26 0.26) 14.03% (0.189 0.19)
Both teams to score 56.7% (-0.463 -0.46)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.04% (-0.836 -0.84)34.95% (0.836 0.84)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.06% (-0.941 -0.94)56.94% (0.943 0.94)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.62% (-0.32199999999999 -0.32)9.37% (0.3239 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.43% (-0.77 -0.77)31.56% (0.771 0.77)
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.56% (-0.286 -0.29)37.44% (0.287 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.78% (-0.281 -0.28)74.22% (0.283 0.28)
Score Analysis
    Bayer Leverkusen 68.13%
    Wolfsburg 14.03%
    Draw 17.84%
Bayer LeverkusenDrawWolfsburg
2-0 @ 9.83% (0.131 0.13)
2-1 @ 9.66% (0.054 0.05)
1-0 @ 8.31% (0.23 0.23)
3-0 @ 7.76% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 7.62% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
4-0 @ 4.59% (-0.075 -0.08)
4-1 @ 4.51% (-0.11 -0.11)
3-2 @ 3.75% (-0.064 -0.06)
4-2 @ 2.22% (-0.072 -0.07)
5-0 @ 2.17% (-0.068 -0.07)
5-1 @ 2.14% (-0.084 -0.08)
5-2 @ 1.05% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 4.53%
Total : 68.13%
1-1 @ 8.16% (0.164 0.16)
2-2 @ 4.75% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.51% (0.147 0.15)
3-3 @ 1.23% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 17.84%
1-2 @ 4.01% (0.05 0.05)
0-1 @ 3.45% (0.119 0.12)
0-2 @ 1.69% (0.046 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.55% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.31% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 14.03%

How you voted: B. Leverkusen vs Wolfsburg

Bayer Leverkusen
93.6%
Draw
4.3%
Wolfsburg
2.1%
94
Head to Head
Oct 21, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 8
Wolfsburg
1-2
B. Leverkusen
Lacroix (41')
Arnold (36'), Baku (45'), Maehle (65')
Frimpong (13'), Grimaldo (62')
Palacios (37'), Xhaka (55'), Adli (56'), Hofmann (74'), Tapsoba (86')
> Preview
Apr 16, 2023 6.30pm
Gameweek 28
Wolfsburg
0-0
B. Leverkusen
> Preview
Oct 22, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 11
B. Leverkusen
2-2
Wolfsburg
Diaby (17'), Frimpong (76')
Andrich (28' og.), Arnold (54' pen.)
> Preview
Mar 20, 2022 4.30pm
Gameweek 27
Wolfsburg
0-2
B. Leverkusen

Lacroix (83'), Vranckx (83')
Paulinho (86', 90+2')
Adli (9'), Demirbay (83'), Hincapie (83')
> Preview
Oct 30, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 10
B. Leverkusen
0-2
Wolfsburg

Tah (28'), Alario (30'), Wirtz (54')
Nmecha (48'), Arnold (51')
Steffen (28'), Brooks (28')
Lacroix (90+5')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202
> Bundesliga Full Table


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