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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 41.52%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 33.46% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.85%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 1-0 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Bayer Leverkusen in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Bayer Leverkusen.
Result | ||
Wolfsburg | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
33.46% (![]() | 25.03% (![]() | 41.52% (![]() |
Both teams to score 57.08% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.71% (![]() | 46.29% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.42% (![]() | 68.58% (![]() |
Wolfsburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.4% (![]() | 26.6% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.18% (![]() | 61.82% (![]() |
Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.76% (![]() | 22.24% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.32% (![]() | 55.68% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Wolfsburg | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
1-0 @ 7.84% (![]() 2-1 @ 7.8% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.19% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.44% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.59% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.29% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.14% ( ![]() Other @ 3.17% Total : 33.46% | 1-1 @ 11.77% (![]() 0-0 @ 5.92% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.86% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.3% ( ![]() Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.02% | 0-1 @ 8.89% (![]() 1-2 @ 8.85% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 6.68% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.44% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.35% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.94% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.67% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.26% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.1% ( ![]() Other @ 2.34% Total : 41.52% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 25 | 19 | 4 | 2 | 74 | 23 | 51 | 61 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 25 | 15 | 8 | 2 | 55 | 30 | 25 | 53 |
3 | Mainz 05Mainz | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 42 | 26 | 16 | 44 |
4 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 42 |
5 | Freiburg | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 41 |
6 | RB Leipzig | 25 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 39 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 38 |
8 | Stuttgart | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 44 | 39 | 5 | 37 |
9 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 39 | 38 | 1 | 37 |
10 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 45 | 39 | 6 | 35 |
11 | Augsburg | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 35 |
12 | Werder Bremen | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 33 |
13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 27 |
14 | Hoffenheim | 25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 32 | 47 | -15 | 26 |
15 | St Pauli | 25 | 6 | 4 | 15 | 19 | 30 | -11 | 22 |
16 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25 | 50 | -25 | 18 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 25 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 37 | 61 | -24 | 17 |
18 | Heidenheim | 25 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 28 | 51 | -23 | 16 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |