Home > Football > Bundesliga
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 48.38%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 27.9% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.82%) and 0-2 (7.58%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 2-1 (6.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stuttgart would win this match.
Result | ||
Wolfsburg | Draw | Stuttgart |
27.9% ( -0.12) | 23.72% ( 0.42) | 48.38% ( -0.29) |
Both teams to score 58.59% ( -1.56) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.01% ( -2.01) | 42.99% ( 2.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.61% ( -2.02) | 65.39% ( 2.03) |
Wolfsburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.38% ( -1.12) | 28.61% ( 1.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.58% ( -1.42) | 64.42% ( 1.42) |
Stuttgart Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.07% ( -0.88) | 17.93% ( 0.88) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.26% ( -1.53) | 48.74% ( 1.54) |
Score Analysis |
Wolfsburg | Draw | Stuttgart |
2-1 @ 6.9% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.42% ( 0.37) 2-0 @ 4.02% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 2.88% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 2.47% ( -0.16) 3-0 @ 1.68% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 0.9% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.63% Total : 27.9% | 1-1 @ 11.03% ( 0.33) 2-2 @ 5.93% ( -0.18) 0-0 @ 5.13% ( 0.44) 3-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.13) Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.72% | 1-2 @ 9.48% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.82% ( 0.53) 0-2 @ 7.58% ( 0.24) 1-3 @ 5.43% ( -0.15) 0-3 @ 4.34% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 3.4% ( -0.21) 1-4 @ 2.34% ( -0.14) 0-4 @ 1.87% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 1.46% ( -0.13) Other @ 3.67% Total : 48.38% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 19 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 58 | 16 | 42 | 48 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 19 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 46 | 26 | 20 | 42 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 44 | 26 | 18 | 37 |
4 | Stuttgart | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 32 |
5 | RB Leipzig | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 34 | 29 | 5 | 32 |
6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 33 | 23 | 10 | 31 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 28 |
8 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 27 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 33 | 36 | -3 | 27 |
10 | Freiburg | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 27 |
11 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 34 | 33 | 1 | 26 |
12 | Augsburg | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 25 |
13 | St Pauli | 19 | 6 | 2 | 11 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 20 |
14 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 20 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 25 | 37 | -12 | 18 |
16 | Heidenheim | 19 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 14 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 19 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 28 | 48 | -20 | 12 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 19 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 17 | 43 | -26 | 10 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |