MX23RW : Tuesday, January 28 23:49:36| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Heidenheim
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Wolfsburg
Wolfsburg
Bundesliga | Gameweek 24
Mar 2, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
VOLKSWAGEN ARENA
Stuttgart

Wolfsburg
2 - 3
Stuttgart

Maehle (50'), Nmecha (83')
Arnold (3'), Baku (22'), Maehle (52')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Guirassy (14', 54' pen.), Vagnomann (77')
Anton (58'), Karazor (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Wolfsburg and Stuttgart, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Frankfurt 2-2 Wolfsburg
Sunday, February 25 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Stuttgart 1-1 FC Koln
Saturday, February 24 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Wolfsburg 1-2 Stuttgart

Despite a minor slip up last week, Stuttgart are still moving clear of those below them in the race for the Champions League and will be favourites against a side with just two wins in 17. With two extremely difficult games ahead on paper against third-placed Stuttgart here, and unbeaten Bayer Leverkusen next, Wolfsburg may find themselves ominously closer to the bottom three in a couple of weeks time. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 48.38%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 27.9% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.82%) and 0-2 (7.58%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 2-1 (6.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stuttgart would win this match.

Result
WolfsburgDrawStuttgart
27.9% (-0.121 -0.12) 23.72% (0.418 0.42) 48.38% (-0.293 -0.29)
Both teams to score 58.59% (-1.555 -1.56)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.01% (-2.009 -2.01)42.99% (2.014 2.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.61% (-2.022 -2.02)65.39% (2.025 2.03)
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.38% (-1.117 -1.12)28.61% (1.121 1.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.58% (-1.421 -1.42)64.42% (1.424 1.42)
Stuttgart Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.07% (-0.878 -0.88)17.93% (0.881 0.88)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.26% (-1.532 -1.53)48.74% (1.535 1.54)
Score Analysis
    Wolfsburg 27.9%
    Stuttgart 48.38%
    Draw 23.72%
WolfsburgDrawStuttgart
2-1 @ 6.9% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 6.42% (0.367 0.37)
2-0 @ 4.02% (0.109 0.11)
3-1 @ 2.88% (-0.096 -0.1)
3-2 @ 2.47% (-0.158 -0.16)
3-0 @ 1.68% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-1 @ 0.9% (-0.059 -0.06)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 27.9%
1-1 @ 11.03% (0.33 0.33)
2-2 @ 5.93% (-0.183 -0.18)
0-0 @ 5.13% (0.443 0.44)
3-3 @ 1.42% (-0.134 -0.13)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.72%
1-2 @ 9.48% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
0-1 @ 8.82% (0.525 0.53)
0-2 @ 7.58% (0.243 0.24)
1-3 @ 5.43% (-0.153 -0.15)
0-3 @ 4.34% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 3.4% (-0.207 -0.21)
1-4 @ 2.34% (-0.136 -0.14)
0-4 @ 1.87% (-0.048 -0.05)
2-4 @ 1.46% (-0.134 -0.13)
Other @ 3.67%
Total : 48.38%

How you voted: Wolfsburg vs Stuttgart

Wolfsburg
15.5%
Draw
17.9%
Stuttgart
66.7%
84
Head to Head
Oct 7, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 7
Stuttgart
3-1
Wolfsburg
Guirassy (67' pen., 78', 82')
Undav (90+4')
Gerhardt (34')
Svanberg (5'), Wind (42'), Vranckx (73')
Mar 18, 2023 2.30pm
Oct 1, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 8
Wolfsburg
3-2
Stuttgart
Marmoush (23'), Arnold (38'), Gerhardt (90+1')
Guirassy (22'), Mavropanos (45+1')
Apr 30, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 32
Stuttgart
1-1
Wolfsburg
Fuhrich (89')
Sosa (22'), Endo (34'), Karazor (55')
Brooks (13')
Schlager (61'), Nmecha (66')
Dec 11, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 15
Wolfsburg
0-2
Stuttgart

Bornauw (24'), Arnold (79')
Mavropanos (25'), Forster (63')
Ito (41'), Marmoush (71')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern19153158164248
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen19126146262042
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt19114444261837
4Stuttgart199553628832
5RB Leipzig199553429532
6Mainz 05Mainz1994633231031
7Wolfsburg198474234828
8Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach198383029127
9Werder Bremen197663336-327
10Freiburg198382636-1027
11Borussia DortmundDortmund197573433126
12Augsburg197482334-1125
13St Pauli1962111721-420
14Union BerlinUnion Berlin195591627-1120
15Hoffenheim194692537-1218
16Heidenheim1942132440-1614
17Holstein Kiel1933132848-2012
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1924131743-2610


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