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Bundesliga
Wolfsburg
Bundesliga | Gameweek 19
Feb 5, 2023 at 4.30pm UK
 
Bayern logo

Wolfsburg
2 - 4
Bayern

Kaminski (44'), Svanberg (80')
Otavio (38'), Bornauw (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Coman (9', 14'), Muller (19'), Musiala (73')
Kimmich (34'), Sane (35'), Goretzka (45+2'), Tel (90+2'), Wanner (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Wolfsburg and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wolfsburg

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Union Berlin 2-1 Wolfsburg
Tuesday, January 31 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal

Bayern Munich

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Mainz 0-4 Bayern
Wednesday, February 1 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal

We said: Wolfsburg 1-3 Bayern Munich

 Bayern's collective mood is likely to have been significantly lifted by their signing of Cancelo and heavy victory against Mainz in midweek, and we expect them to return to winning ways in the Bundesliga on Sunday. However, Wolfsburg will provide a stern test having won six of their last seven league games, with Yann Sommer's wait for a first clean sheet in the Bundesliga for Bayern potentially prolonged. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 69.77%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 14.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (8%) and 0-2 (7.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.29%), while for a Wolfsburg win it was 2-1 (3.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
WolfsburgDrawBayern Munich
14.33% (-2.041 -2.04) 15.89% (-0.489 -0.49) 69.77% (2.525 2.53)
Both teams to score 65.89% (-3.44 -3.44)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
75.84% (-1.981 -1.98)24.15% (1.974 1.97)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
56.19% (-2.668 -2.67)43.81% (2.663 2.66)
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.33% (-3.636 -3.64)29.66% (3.631 3.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.28% (-4.651 -4.65)65.71% (4.647 4.65)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.67% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)6.32% (0.045 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
76.22% (-0.13200000000001 -0.13)23.77% (0.127 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Wolfsburg 14.33%
    Bayern Munich 69.77%
    Draw 15.89%
WolfsburgDrawBayern Munich
2-1 @ 3.82% (-0.273 -0.27)
1-0 @ 2.28% (0.08 0.08)
3-2 @ 2.14% (-0.406 -0.41)
3-1 @ 1.55% (-0.289 -0.29)
2-0 @ 1.39% (-0.095 -0.1)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 14.33%
1-1 @ 6.29% (0.205 0.21)
2-2 @ 5.28% (-0.391 -0.39)
3-3 @ 1.97% (-0.38 -0.38)
0-0 @ 1.88% (0.242 0.24)
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 15.89%
1-2 @ 8.69% (0.262 0.26)
1-3 @ 8% (0.221 0.22)
0-2 @ 7.15% (0.888 0.89)
0-3 @ 6.58% (0.802 0.8)
1-4 @ 5.52% (0.138 0.14)
0-1 @ 5.18% (0.655 0.65)
2-3 @ 4.86% (-0.374 -0.37)
0-4 @ 4.54% (0.544 0.54)
2-4 @ 3.35% (-0.268 -0.27)
1-5 @ 3.05% (0.068 0.07)
0-5 @ 2.51% (0.294 0.29)
2-5 @ 1.85% (-0.153 -0.15)
1-6 @ 1.4% (0.028 0.03)
3-4 @ 1.36% (-0.266 -0.27)
0-6 @ 1.15% (0.132 0.13)
Other @ 4.59%
Total : 69.77%

How you voted: Wolfsburg vs Bayern

Wolfsburg
19.8%
Draw
8.5%
Bayern Munich
71.7%
106
Head to Head
Aug 14, 2022 4.30pm
Bayern
2-0
Wolfsburg
Musiala (33'), Muller (44')
Hernandez (15'), Ulreich (23')

Svanberg (52')
May 14, 2022 2.30pm
Wolfsburg
2-2
Bayern
Wind (45'), Kruse (58')
Kohfeldt (38'), Nmecha (42')
Stanisic (17'), Lewandowski (40')
Upamecano (77'), Richards (88')
Dec 17, 2021 7.30pm
Bayern
4-0
Wolfsburg
Muller (7'), Upamecano (57'), Sane (59'), Lewandowski (87')
Apr 17, 2021 2.30pm
Wolfsburg
2-3
Bayern
Weghorst (35'), Philipp (54')
Otavio (57'), Mbabu (86')
Musiala (15', 37'), Maxim Choupo-Moting (24')
Hernandez (79')
Dec 16, 2020 7.30pm
Bayern
2-1
Wolfsburg
Lewandowski (45+1', 50')
Gnabry (69'), Sane (84'), Coman (90')
Philipp (5')
Arnold (34')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern16123148133539
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen16105140231735
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1693436231330
4RB Leipzig169342822630
5Mainz 05Mainz1684430201028
6Freiburg168352426-227
7Stuttgart167543025526
8Borussia DortmundDortmund167453025525
9Werder Bremen167452829-125
10Wolfsburg167363328524
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach167362521424
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin164571421-717
13Augsburg164481733-1616
14St Pauli1642101220-814
15Hoffenheim163582029-914
16Heidenheim1641112033-1313
17Holstein Kiel1622122141-208
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1613121337-246
> Bundesliga Full Table


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