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Bundesliga | Gameweek 20
Feb 11, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Allianz Arena
VfL Bochum

Bayern
3 - 0
VfL Bochum

Muller (41'), Coman (64'), Gnabry (73' pen.)
Nagelsmann (43'), Tel (79')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Ordets (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and VfL Bochum, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayern Munich

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Wolfsburg 2-4 Bayern
Sunday, February 5 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

VfL Bochum

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: VfL Bochum 1-2 Dortmund
Wednesday, February 8 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal

We said: Bayern Munich 3-0 VfL Bochum

 Although Bochum have undoubtedly hugely improved under Letsch's management, their away form has remained poor. Bayern should be confident of earning a comfortable victory here. Nagelsmann will be keen for his players to secure an early healthy lead, with the 35-year-old likely to have one eye on taking their foot off the gas ahead of his side's forthcoming European tie against PSG on Tuesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 89.52%. A draw had a probability of 7.1% and a win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 3.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (9.62%) and 2-0 (8.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.17%), while for a VfL Bochum win it was 1-2 (1.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Bayern Munich in this match.

Result
Bayern MunichDrawVfL Bochum
89.52% (0.043999999999997 0.04) 7.13% (-0.025099999999999 -0.03) 3.35% (-0.0181 -0.02)
Both teams to score 48.96% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
81.5% (0.040000000000006 0.04)18.5% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
64.07% (0.058999999999997 0.06)35.92% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
97.54% (0.010999999999996 0.01)2.46% (-0.0111 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
88.42% (0.040999999999997 0.04)11.58% (-0.039 -0.04)
VfL Bochum Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.19% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)49.81% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.47% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)84.52% (0.032000000000011 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 89.51%
    VfL Bochum 3.35%
    Draw 7.13%
Bayern MunichDrawVfL Bochum
3-0 @ 10.38%
4-0 @ 9.62% (0.012 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.41% (-0.0089999999999986 -0.01)
3-1 @ 7.24% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
5-0 @ 7.13% (0.018 0.02)
4-1 @ 6.71%
2-1 @ 5.86% (-0.014 -0.01)
5-1 @ 4.97% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-0 @ 4.54% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
6-0 @ 4.4% (0.016 0.02)
6-1 @ 3.07% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.52% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
4-2 @ 2.34% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
7-0 @ 2.33% (0.011 0.01)
5-2 @ 1.73% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
7-1 @ 1.62% (0.006 0.01)
8-0 @ 1.08% (0.006 0.01)
6-2 @ 1.07% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 4.5%
Total : 89.51%
1-1 @ 3.17% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-2 @ 2.04% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-0 @ 1.23% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 7.13%
1-2 @ 1.1% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 3.35%

How you voted: Bayern vs VfL Bochum

Bayern Munich
91.2%
Draw
5.9%
VfL Bochum
2.9%
68
Head to Head
Aug 21, 2022 4.30pm
VfL Bochum
0-7
Bayern

Janko (46')
Sane (4'), De Ligt (25'), Coman (33'), Mane (42', 60'), Gamboa (69' og.), Gnabry (76')
Feb 12, 2022 2.30pm
VfL Bochum
4-2
Bayern
Antwi-Adjej (14'), Locadia (38' pen.), Gamboa (40'), Holtmann (44')
Gamboa (58'), Rexhbecaj (74')
Lewandowski (9', 75')
Pavard (90')
Sep 18, 2021 2.30pm
Bayern
7-0
VfL Bochum
Sane (17'), Kimmich (27', 65'), Gnabry (32'), Lambropoulos (43' og.), Lewandowski (61'), Maxim Choupo-Moting (79')
Stanisic (52')

Stafylidis (35')
Oct 29, 2019 7pm
Second Round
VfL Bochum
1-2
Bayern
Davies (36' og.)
Chung-yong (30'), Losilla (50')
Bella-Kotchap (88')
Gnabry (83'), Muller (89')
Feb 10, 2016 7.30pm
Quarter-Finals
VfL Bochum
0-3
Bayern

Fabian (56')
Simunek (44')
Lewandowski (39', 90'), Alcantara (61')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern16123148133539
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen16105140231735
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1693436231330
4RB Leipzig169342822630
5Mainz 05Mainz1684430201028
6Freiburg168352426-227
7Stuttgart167543025526
8Borussia DortmundDortmund167453025525
9Werder Bremen167452829-125
10Wolfsburg167363328524
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach167362521424
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin164571421-717
13Augsburg164481733-1616
14St Pauli1642101220-814
15Hoffenheim163582029-914
16Heidenheim1641112033-1313
17Holstein Kiel1622122141-208
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1613121337-246
> Bundesliga Full Table


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