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Bundesliga | Gameweek 32
May 13, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Allianz Arena
Schalke

Bayern
6 - 0
Schalke

Muller (21'), Kimmich (29' pen.), Gnabry (50', 65'), Tel (80'), Mazraoui (90+2')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Krauss (20'), Brunner (28'), Bulter (36')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and Schalke 04, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Mainz 2-3 Schalke
Friday, May 5 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Bayern Munich 3-1 Schalke 04

Although Schalke have made vast improvements in recent weeks, we expect Bayern Munich to flex their muscles and take another step towards sealing an 11th Bundesliga title in as many years. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 78.17%. A draw had a probability of 13.4% and a win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 8.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.63%) and 2-1 (8.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.13%), while for a Schalke 04 win it was 1-2 (2.57%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Bayern MunichDrawSchalke 04
78.17% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 13.43% (0.00099999999999945 0) 8.4% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Both teams to score 53.33% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.59% (-0.058000000000007 -0.06)29.4% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.53% (-0.069999999999993 -0.07)50.47% (0.069000000000003 0.07)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.99% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)6.01% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
77.09% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)22.91% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Schalke 04 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.74% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)43.25% (0.074999999999996 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.49% (-0.067 -0.07)79.51% (0.067000000000007 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 78.16%
    Schalke 04 8.4%
    Draw 13.43%
Bayern MunichDrawSchalke 04
2-0 @ 10.27% (0.02 0.02)
3-0 @ 9.63% (0.016 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.61% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 8.07% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-0 @ 7.31% (0.02 0.02)
4-0 @ 6.77% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
4-1 @ 5.67% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
5-0 @ 3.81% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 3.38% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
5-1 @ 3.19% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 2.38% (-0.008 -0.01)
6-0 @ 1.78%
6-1 @ 1.5% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
5-2 @ 1.34% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 4.45%
Total : 78.16%
1-1 @ 6.13% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-2 @ 3.61% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-0 @ 2.6% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.95% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 13.43%
1-2 @ 2.57% (-0.004 -0)
0-1 @ 2.18% (0.0029999999999997 0)
2-3 @ 1.01% (-0.004 -0)
0-2 @ 0.91% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 8.4%

How you voted: Bayern vs Schalke

Bayern Munich
70.4%
Draw
7.4%
Schalke 04
22.2%
27
Head to Head
Nov 12, 2022 5.30pm
Jan 24, 2021 2.30pm
gameweek 18
Schalke
0-4
Bayern

Nastasic (80')
Muller (33', 88'), Lewandowski (54'), Alaba (90')
Boateng (84')
Sep 18, 2020 7.30pm
gameweek 1
Bayern
8-0
Schalke
Gnabry (4', 47', 59'), Goretzka (19'), Lewandowski (31' pen.), Muller (70'), Sane (71'), Musiala (81')
Kimmich (65')

Kabak (30'), Stambouli (81')
Mar 3, 2020 7.45pm
Quarter-Finals
Schalke
0-1
Bayern

Burgstaller (66'), Nastasic (66'), McKennie (86'), Raman (90')
Kimmich (40')
Jan 25, 2020 5.30pm
gameweek 19
Bayern
5-0
Schalke
Lewandowski (6'), Muller (45'), Goretzka (50'), Alcantara (58'), Gnabry (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern16123148133539
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen16105140231735
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1693436231330
4RB Leipzig169342822630
5Mainz 05Mainz1684430201028
6Freiburg168352426-227
7Stuttgart167543025526
8Borussia DortmundDortmund177463229325
9Werder Bremen167452829-125
10Wolfsburg167363328524
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach167362521424
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin164571421-717
13Augsburg164481733-1616
14St Pauli1642101220-814
15Hoffenheim163582029-914
16Heidenheim1641112033-1313
17Holstein Kiel1732122543-1811
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1613121337-246


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