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Bundesliga | Gameweek 32
May 13, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Allianz Arena
Schalke

Bayern
6 - 0
Schalke

Muller (21'), Kimmich (29' pen.), Gnabry (50', 65'), Tel (80'), Mazraoui (90+2')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Krauss (20'), Brunner (28'), Bulter (36')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and Schalke 04, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Mainz 2-3 Schalke
Friday, May 5 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Bayern Munich 3-1 Schalke 04

Although Schalke have made vast improvements in recent weeks, we expect Bayern Munich to flex their muscles and take another step towards sealing an 11th Bundesliga title in as many years. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 78.17%. A draw had a probability of 13.4% and a win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 8.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.63%) and 2-1 (8.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.13%), while for a Schalke 04 win it was 1-2 (2.57%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Bayern MunichDrawSchalke 04
78.17% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 13.43% (0.00099999999999945 0) 8.4% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Both teams to score 53.33% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.59% (-0.058000000000007 -0.06)29.4% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.53% (-0.069999999999993 -0.07)50.47% (0.069000000000003 0.07)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.99% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)6.01% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
77.09% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)22.91% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Schalke 04 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.74% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)43.25% (0.074999999999996 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.49% (-0.067 -0.07)79.51% (0.067000000000007 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 78.16%
    Schalke 04 8.4%
    Draw 13.43%
Bayern MunichDrawSchalke 04
2-0 @ 10.27% (0.02 0.02)
3-0 @ 9.63% (0.016 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.61% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 8.07% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-0 @ 7.31% (0.02 0.02)
4-0 @ 6.77% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
4-1 @ 5.67% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
5-0 @ 3.81% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 3.38% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
5-1 @ 3.19% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 2.38% (-0.008 -0.01)
6-0 @ 1.78%
6-1 @ 1.5% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
5-2 @ 1.34% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 4.45%
Total : 78.16%
1-1 @ 6.13% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-2 @ 3.61% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-0 @ 2.6% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.95% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 13.43%
1-2 @ 2.57% (-0.004 -0)
0-1 @ 2.18% (0.0029999999999997 0)
2-3 @ 1.01% (-0.004 -0)
0-2 @ 0.91% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 8.4%

How you voted: Bayern vs Schalke

Bayern Munich
70.4%
Draw
7.4%
Schalke 04
22.2%
27
Head to Head
Nov 12, 2022 5.30pm
Jan 24, 2021 2.30pm
gameweek 18
Schalke
0-4
Bayern

Nastasic (80')
Muller (33', 88'), Lewandowski (54'), Alaba (90')
Boateng (84')
Sep 18, 2020 7.30pm
gameweek 1
Bayern
8-0
Schalke
Gnabry (4', 47', 59'), Goretzka (19'), Lewandowski (31' pen.), Muller (70'), Sane (71'), Musiala (81')
Kimmich (65')

Kabak (30'), Stambouli (81')
Mar 3, 2020 7.45pm
Quarter-Finals
Schalke
0-1
Bayern

Burgstaller (66'), Nastasic (66'), McKennie (86'), Raman (90')
Kimmich (40')
Jan 25, 2020 5.30pm
gameweek 19
Bayern
5-0
Schalke
Lewandowski (6'), Muller (45'), Goretzka (50'), Alcantara (58'), Gnabry (89')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern119203672929
2Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1172227161123
3RB Leipzig11632189921
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen115512618820
5Borussia DortmundDortmund116142218419
6Freiburg115241315-217
7Stuttgart114432119216
8Union BerlinUnion Berlin1144399016
9Wolfsburg114342018215
10Werder Bremen114341722-515
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
12Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
13Hoffenheim113351722-512
14Augsburg113351323-1012
15Heidenheim113171520-510
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum110291032-222


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