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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 45.31%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 32.59% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.84%) and 1-3 (5.54%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 2-1 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Bayern Munich in this match.
Result | ||
FC Koln | Draw | Bayern Munich |
32.59% ( 0.01) | 22.09% ( 0) | 45.31% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 67.54% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.53% ( -0) | 32.46% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
45.89% ( -0) | 54.1% ( 0) |
FC Koln Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.49% ( 0) | 20.5% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.01% ( 0.01) | 52.99% ( -0.01) |
Bayern Munich Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.96% ( -0) | 15.03% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.48% ( -0.01) | 43.52% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
FC Koln | Draw | Bayern Munich |
2-1 @ 7.33% ( 0) 1-0 @ 4.88% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.87% ( 0) 2-0 @ 3.87% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.67% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.04% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.54% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.45% 4-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 3.01% Total : 32.59% | 1-1 @ 9.26% ( 0) 2-2 @ 6.95% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.08% 3-3 @ 2.32% Other @ 0.49% Total : 22.09% | 1-2 @ 8.77% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.84% 1-3 @ 5.54% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.53% ( -0) 2-3 @ 4.39% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.5% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.62% ( -0) 2-4 @ 2.08% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.66% ( -0) 3-4 @ 1.1% 1-5 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 3.3% Total : 45.31% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 19 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 58 | 16 | 42 | 48 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 19 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 46 | 26 | 20 | 42 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 44 | 26 | 18 | 37 |
4 | Stuttgart | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 32 |
5 | RB Leipzig | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 34 | 29 | 5 | 32 |
6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 31 |
7 | Werder Bremen | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 30 |
8 | Wolfsburg | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 28 |
9 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 27 |
10 | Freiburg | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 27 |
11 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 34 | 33 | 1 | 26 |
12 | Augsburg | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 25 |
13 | St Pauli | 19 | 6 | 2 | 11 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 20 |
14 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 20 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 25 | 37 | -12 | 18 |
16 | Heidenheim | 19 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 14 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 19 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 28 | 48 | -20 | 12 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 19 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 17 | 43 | -26 | 10 |
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