Bundesliga | Gameweek 4
Sep 22, 2024 at 4.30pm UK
Mercedes-Benz-Arena
Stuttgart5 - 1Dortmund
FT(HT: 2-0)
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Real Madrid 3-1 Stuttgart
Tuesday, September 17 at 8pm in Champions League
Tuesday, September 17 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Brugge 0-3 Dortmund
Wednesday, September 18 at 8pm in Champions League
Wednesday, September 18 at 8pm in Champions League
We said: Stuttgart 1-2 Borussia Dortmund
Though Stuttgart's loss against Real Madrid was not an unexpected result, it was the third time this season that they have conceded three or more goals in a match. Additionally, Dortmund have been playing well in the early stages of their campaign under Sahin, and they should be full of confidence after their win against Club Brugge in the Champions League. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 47.98%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 30% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.27%) and 2-0 (6.06%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.37%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stuttgart would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Stuttgart | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
47.98% ( -0.21) | 22.01% ( 0.01) | 30% ( 0.21) |
| Both teams to score 66.37% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
