MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 09:29:28| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 5
Sep 28, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Red Bull Arena
Augsburg logo

RB Leipzig
4 - 0
Augsburg

Sesko (11', 15'), Openda (46'), Simons (57')
Seiwald (42')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Onyeka (78'), Matsima (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between RB Leipzig and Augsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: St Pauli 0-0 RB Leipzig
Sunday, September 22 at 6.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Augsburg 2-3 Mainz
Friday, September 20 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: RB Leipzig 1-0 Augsburg

While Leipzig have been poor in front of goal this season, it would be surprising if they failed to score for a third consecutive league match. Considering Augsburg's worrying top-flight record recently, they could struggle to get back into the game if the hosts were to score first. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 59.11%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 20.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.81%) and 1-0 (8.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.56%), while for an Augsburg win it was 1-2 (5.36%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.

Result
RB LeipzigDrawAugsburg
59.11% (0.030999999999999 0.03) 20.88% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02) 20.01% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02)
Both teams to score 58.87% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.74% (0.051000000000002 0.05)38.26% (-0.050999999999995 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.47% (0.055000000000007 0.06)60.54% (-0.055 -0.05)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.33% (0.024000000000001 0.02)12.67% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.15% (0.051000000000002 0.05)38.85% (-0.052 -0.05)
Augsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.42% (0.015000000000001 0.02)32.59% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.88% (0.016000000000002 0.02)69.13% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    RB Leipzig 59.11%
    Augsburg 20.01%
    Draw 20.88%
RB LeipzigDrawAugsburg
2-1 @ 9.88% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-0 @ 8.81% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
1-0 @ 8.53% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.8% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 6.07% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 3.81% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 3.51% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.13% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.97% (0.004 0)
5-1 @ 1.45% (0.004 0)
5-0 @ 1.3% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.85%
Total : 59.11%
1-1 @ 9.56% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.54% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 4.13% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.43% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 20.88%
1-2 @ 5.36% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-1 @ 4.63% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.6% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.07% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 2% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 0.97% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 20.01%

How you voted: RB Leipzig vs Augsburg

RB Leipzig
92.6%
Draw
4.9%
Augsburg
2.5%
81
Head to Head
Feb 10, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 21
Augsburg
2-2
RB Leipzig
Tietz (35'), Demirovic (60')
Gouweleeuw (55'), Jakic (64'), Vargas (70'), Dahmen (81'), Mbabu (90+5')
Openda (39'), Sesko (52')
Raum (73')
Sep 16, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 4
RB Leipzig
3-0
Augsburg
Simons (6'), Openda (11'), Raum (27')
Apr 15, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 28
RB Leipzig
3-2
Augsburg
Kampl (10'), Werner (32', 35')
Maier (5'), Vargas (82')
Oct 22, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 11
Augsburg
3-3
RB Leipzig
Berisha (34' pen.), Demirovic (51'), Vargas (64')
Silva (73'), Nkunku (89'), Novoa (90')
May 8, 2022 6.30pm
Gameweek 33
RB Leipzig
4-0
Augsburg
Silva (40'), Nkunku (48', 57'), Forsberg (64' pen.)
Forsberg (36')

Gouweleeuw (72'), Gunther (77')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202


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