MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 08:57:10| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 5
Sep 28, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Schwarzwald-Stadion

Freiburg
0 - 3
St Pauli


Ginter (35'), Kubler (44'), Hofler (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Saad (12', 72'), Afolayan (45')
Eggestein (53'), Saliakas (63'), Banks (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Freiburg and St Pauli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Freiburg

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Heidenheim 0-3 Freiburg
Saturday, September 21 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

St Pauli

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: St Pauli 0-0 RB Leipzig
Sunday, September 22 at 6.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Freiburg 2-0 St Pauli

 Freiburg have been one of the standout performers over the first four games of the season, and they will see this as a match that they should be coming away from with all three points, given their opponents record to this point. While St Pauli managed to pick up an against-the-odds point against Leipzig last time out, we feel they will struggle to get anything from this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 42.32%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 33.12% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.46%) and 0-2 (6.6%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 2-1 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Pauli would win this match.

Result
FreiburgDrawSt Pauli
33.12% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 24.56% (0.134 0.13) 42.32% (-0.131 -0.13)
Both teams to score 58.6% (-0.484 -0.48)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.74% (-0.629 -0.63)44.26% (0.628 0.63)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.36% (-0.614 -0.61)66.63% (0.61199999999999 0.61)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.17% (-0.30799999999999 -0.31)25.82% (0.305 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.21% (-0.416 -0.42)60.79% (0.41399999999999 0.41)
St Pauli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79% (-0.32599999999999 -0.33)21% (0.324 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.23% (-0.508 -0.51)53.77% (0.506 0.51)
Score Analysis
    Freiburg 33.12%
    St Pauli 42.32%
    Draw 24.55%
FreiburgDrawSt Pauli
2-1 @ 7.76%
1-0 @ 7.34% (0.136 0.14)
2-0 @ 4.97% (0.049 0.05)
3-1 @ 3.5% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.73% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-0 @ 2.24% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-1 @ 1.19% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-2 @ 0.93% (-0.025 -0.02)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 33.12%
1-1 @ 11.45% (0.1 0.1)
2-2 @ 6.05% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-0 @ 5.42% (0.146 0.15)
3-3 @ 1.42% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.55%
1-2 @ 8.94% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-1 @ 8.46% (0.147 0.15)
0-2 @ 6.6% (0.05 0.05)
1-3 @ 4.65% (-0.052 -0.05)
0-3 @ 3.44% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.15% (-0.063 -0.06)
1-4 @ 1.82% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-4 @ 1.34% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.23% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 42.32%

How you voted: Freiburg vs St Pauli

Freiburg
93.8%
Draw
3.1%
St Pauli
3.1%
64
Head to Head
Oct 19, 2022 5pm
Second Round
Freiburg
2-1
St Pauli
Ginter (90+3'), Gregoritsch (119')
Daschner (42')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202
> Bundesliga Full Table


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