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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 69.07%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 14.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.07%) and 3-1 (7.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7%), while for a Borussia Dortmund win it was 1-2 (3.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Bayern Munich | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
69.07% ( 0) | 16.59% | 14.34% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 62.79% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
72.18% ( -0.01) | 27.81% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
51.49% ( -0.01) | 48.51% ( 0.01) |
Bayern Munich Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.65% ( -0) | 7.34% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
73.48% ( -0) | 26.52% ( 0) |
Borussia Dortmund Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.76% ( -0.01) | 32.24% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.27% ( -0.01) | 68.73% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Bayern Munich | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
2-1 @ 9.14% 2-0 @ 8.07% ( 0) 3-1 @ 7.95% 3-0 @ 7.03% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.18% ( 0) 4-1 @ 5.19% 4-0 @ 4.59% ( 0) 3-2 @ 4.5% ( -0) 4-2 @ 2.94% ( -0) 5-1 @ 2.71% 5-0 @ 2.4% 5-2 @ 1.54% ( -0) 6-1 @ 1.18% ( -0) 4-3 @ 1.11% ( -0) 6-0 @ 1.04% Other @ 3.5% Total : 69.07% | 1-1 @ 7% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.17% ( -0) 0-0 @ 2.37% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.7% ( -0) Other @ 0.35% Total : 16.59% | 1-2 @ 3.96% 0-1 @ 2.68% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.95% 0-2 @ 1.52% 1-3 @ 1.5% Other @ 2.73% Total : 14.34% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 19 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 58 | 16 | 42 | 48 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 19 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 46 | 26 | 20 | 42 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 44 | 26 | 18 | 37 |
4 | Stuttgart | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 32 |
5 | RB Leipzig | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 34 | 29 | 5 | 32 |
6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 31 |
7 | Werder Bremen | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 30 |
8 | Wolfsburg | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 28 |
9 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 27 |
10 | Freiburg | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 27 |
11 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 34 | 33 | 1 | 26 |
12 | Augsburg | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 25 |
13 | St Pauli | 19 | 6 | 2 | 11 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 20 |
14 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 20 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 25 | 37 | -12 | 18 |
16 | Heidenheim | 19 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 14 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 19 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 28 | 48 | -20 | 12 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 19 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 17 | 43 | -26 | 10 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |