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Bundesliga | Gameweek 27
Mar 30, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Allianz Arena
Dortmund logo

Bayern
0 - 2
Dortmund

FT(HT: 0-1)
Adeyemi (10'), Ryerson (83')

The Match

Match Report

Goals from Karim Adeyemi and Julian Ryerson secure a 2-0 victory for Borussia Dortmund in Der Klassiker, leaving Bayern Munich's title ambitions in severe jeopardy.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Darmstadt 2-5 Bayern
Saturday, March 16 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 69.07%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 14.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.07%) and 3-1 (7.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7%), while for a Borussia Dortmund win it was 1-2 (3.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.

Result
Bayern MunichDrawBorussia Dortmund
69.07% (0.0010000000000048 0) 16.59%14.34% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Both teams to score 62.79% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.18% (-0.0069999999999908 -0.01)27.81% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
51.49% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)48.51% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.65% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)7.34% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.48% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)26.52% (0.004999999999999 0)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.76% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)32.24% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.27% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)68.73% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 69.07%
    Borussia Dortmund 14.34%
    Draw 16.59%
Bayern MunichDrawBorussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 9.14%
2-0 @ 8.07% (0.0019999999999989 0)
3-1 @ 7.95%
3-0 @ 7.03% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 6.18% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 5.19%
4-0 @ 4.59% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-2 @ 4.5% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-2 @ 2.94% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 2.71%
5-0 @ 2.4%
5-2 @ 1.54% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
6-1 @ 1.18% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-3 @ 1.11% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
6-0 @ 1.04%
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 69.07%
1-1 @ 7% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 5.17% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 2.37% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-3 @ 1.7% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 16.59%
1-2 @ 3.96%
0-1 @ 2.68% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 1.95%
0-2 @ 1.52%
1-3 @ 1.5%
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 14.34%

How you voted: Bayern vs Dortmund

Bayern Munich
81.7%
Draw
13.0%
Borussia Dortmund
5.2%
115
Head to Head
Nov 4, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 10
Dortmund
0-4
Bayern

Hummels (61'), Ryerson (74'), Sabitzer (76')
Upamecano (4'), Kane (9', 72', 90+3')
Sane (22'), Tuchel (42'), Laimer (85')
Apr 1, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 26
Bayern
4-2
Dortmund
Kobel (13' og.), Muller (18', 23'), Coman (50')
Can (72' pen.), Malen (90')
Oct 8, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 9
Dortmund
2-2
Bayern
Moukoko (74'), Modeste (90+5')
Goretzka (33'), Sane (53')
Apr 23, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 31
Bayern
3-1
Dortmund
Gnabry (15'), Lewandowski (34'), Musiala (83')
Nagelsmann (87')
Can (52' pen.)
Can (40'), Rose (41')
Dec 4, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 14
Dortmund
2-3
Bayern
Brandt (5'), Braut Haaland (48')
Can (51'), Rose (55'), Rose (78'), Bellingham (86')
Lewandowski (9', 77'), Coman (44')
Lewandowski (88'), Upamecano (90+5')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern15113147133436
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1485132201229
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1583435231227
4RB Leipzig158342420427
5Mainz 05Mainz157442820825
6Werder Bremen157442625125
7Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach157352520524
8Freiburg147342019124
9Stuttgart156542925423
10Borussia DortmundDortmund146442521422
11Wolfsburg146353125621
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin154561419-517
13Augsburg154471732-1516
14St Pauli154291219-714
15Hoffenheim153572028-814
16Heidenheim1431101831-1310
17Holstein Kiel1522111938-198
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1403111135-243


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