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Bundesliga | Gameweek 31
May 7, 2023 at 4.30pm UK
Signal Iduna Park
Wolfsburg

Dortmund
6 - 0
Wolfsburg

Adeyemi (14', 59'), Haller (28'), Malen (37'), Bellingham (54', 86')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Fischer (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Dortmund and Wolfsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: VfL Bochum 1-1 Dortmund
Friday, April 28 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

Wolfsburg

All competitions
Last Game: Wolfsburg 3-0 Mainz
Sunday, April 30 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Borussia Dortmund 3-2 Wolfsburg

 This season, 20 of Borussia Dortmund's 30 league games have produced at least three goals, while Wolfsburg have scored eight goals across their past two matches. With that in mind, we can see Dortmund and Wolfsburg dishing up a high-scoring thriller on Sunday, with the hosts expected to outscore the visitors to keep their title dreams alive. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 60.28%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 19.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.18%) and 1-0 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.55%), while for a Wolfsburg win it was 1-2 (5.16%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
Borussia DortmundDrawWolfsburg
60.28% (0.017999999999994 0.02) 20.7% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02) 19.01%
Both teams to score 57.74% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.07% (0.106 0.11)38.93% (-0.111 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.75% (0.111 0.11)61.25% (-0.116 -0.12)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.45% (0.037000000000006 0.04)12.54% (-0.042 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.41% (0.082999999999998 0.08)38.58% (-0.086999999999996 -0.09)
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.02% (0.061999999999998 0.06)33.97% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.35% (0.07 0.07)70.65% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Borussia Dortmund 60.28%
    Wolfsburg 19.01%
    Draw 20.7%
Borussia DortmundDrawWolfsburg
2-1 @ 9.91% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 9.18% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-0 @ 8.85% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-1 @ 6.86% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.35% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 3.7% (0.012 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.56% (0.01 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.3% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.92% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.48% (0.006 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.37% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.8%
Total : 60.28%
1-1 @ 9.55% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.35% (0.008 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.26% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.33% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 20.7%
1-2 @ 5.16%
0-1 @ 4.6% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.48% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.93% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.86% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 19.01%

How you voted: Dortmund vs Wolfsburg

Borussia Dortmund
81.5%
Draw
9.8%
Wolfsburg
8.7%
92
Head to Head
Nov 8, 2022 5.30pm
gameweek 14
Wolfsburg
2-0
Dortmund
Van de Ven (6'), Nmecha (90+2')
Nmecha (45+1')
Apr 16, 2022 2.30pm
gameweek 30
Dortmund
6-1
Wolfsburg
Rothe (24'), Witsel (26'), Akanji (28'), Can (35'), Braut Haaland (38', 54')
Baku (81')
Baku (33'), Gerhardt (41')
Nov 27, 2021 2.30pm
gameweek 13
Wolfsburg
1-3
Dortmund
Weghorst (2')
Lukebakio (25'), Lacroix (32'), Nmecha (37'), Arnold (42')
Can (35' pen.), Malen (55'), Braut Haaland (81')
Wolf (60')
Apr 24, 2021 2.30pm
gameweek 31
Wolfsburg
0-2
Dortmund

Otavio (72')
Braut Haaland (12', 68')
Bellingham (13'), Meunier (88')
Bellingham (59')
Jan 3, 2021 2.30pm
gameweek 14
Dortmund
2-0
Wolfsburg
Akanji (66'), Sancho (90+1')
Hummels (25'), Delaney (40'), Braut Haaland (80')

Steffen (38')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern16123148133539
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen16105140231735
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1693436231330
4RB Leipzig169342822630
5Mainz 05Mainz1684430201028
6Freiburg168352426-227
7Stuttgart167543025526
8Borussia DortmundDortmund167453025525
9Werder Bremen167452829-125
10Wolfsburg167363328524
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach167362521424
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin164571421-717
13Augsburg164481733-1616
14St Pauli1642101220-814
15Hoffenheim163582029-914
16Heidenheim1641112033-1313
17Holstein Kiel1622122141-208
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1613121337-246
> Bundesliga Full Table


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