MX23RW : Saturday, November 16 21:30:04| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 1
Aug 24, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Schwarzwald-Stadion
Stuttgart

Freiburg
3 - 1
Stuttgart

Kubler (26', 61'), Doan (54')
Adamu (41'), Lienhart (57')
FT(HT: 1-1)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Freiburg and Stuttgart, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Osnabruck 0-4 Freiburg
Saturday, August 17 at 2.30pm in DFB-Pokal

We said: Freiburg 2-2 Stuttgart

The arrival of new boss Schuster could be a welcome boost for Freiburg, and they could continue to benefit from his fresh ideas. Stuttgart could also have a hangover from their penalty-shootout defeat last week against Bayer Leverkusen, and it would not be surprising if they dropped points on their opening matchday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 49.57%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 28.6% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.4%) and 0-2 (6.3%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 2-1 (6.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.

Result
FreiburgDrawStuttgart
28.6% (0.353 0.35) 21.83% (0.136 0.14) 49.57% (-0.486 -0.49)
Both teams to score 66.02% (-0.232 -0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.55% (-0.41799999999999 -0.42)33.45% (0.421 0.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.76% (-0.48 -0.48)55.24% (0.483 0.48)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.73% (0.007000000000005 0.01)23.27% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.8% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)57.2% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Stuttgart Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.04% (-0.307 -0.31)13.96% (0.31 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.56% (-0.608 -0.61)41.44% (0.611 0.61)
Score Analysis
    Freiburg 28.6%
    Stuttgart 49.57%
    Draw 21.83%
FreiburgDrawStuttgart
2-1 @ 6.8% (0.074999999999999 0.07)
1-0 @ 4.74% (0.105 0.11)
2-0 @ 3.45% (0.077 0.08)
3-1 @ 3.3% (0.037 0.04)
3-2 @ 3.25%
3-0 @ 1.68% (0.038 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.2% (0.013 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.19%
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 28.6%
1-1 @ 9.32% (0.102 0.1)
2-2 @ 6.69% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 3.25% (0.071 0.07)
3-3 @ 2.14% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 21.83%
1-2 @ 9.18% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-1 @ 6.4% (0.069 0.07)
0-2 @ 6.3% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-3 @ 6.03% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-3 @ 4.39% (-0.05 -0.05)
0-3 @ 4.13% (-0.049 -0.05)
1-4 @ 2.97% (-0.069 -0.07)
2-4 @ 2.16% (-0.05 -0.05)
0-4 @ 2.04% (-0.047 -0.05)
1-5 @ 1.17% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-4 @ 1.05% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 3.76%
Total : 49.57%

How you voted: Freiburg vs Stuttgart

Freiburg
23.4%
Draw
14.9%
Stuttgart
61.7%
47
Head to Head
Feb 3, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 20
Freiburg
1-3
Stuttgart
Kubler (45+11')
Streich (21'), Ginter (41'), Eggestein (45+4'), Kubler (90'), Philipp (90+9')
Rohl (18')
Undav (3'), Fuhrich (7'), Mittelstadt (74')
Mittelstadt (72'), Stiller (90+9')
Sep 2, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 3
Stuttgart
5-0
Freiburg
Fuhrich (8', 62'), Guirassy (17', 19'), Millot (75')
Ito (38')

Philipp (86')
Feb 11, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 20
Freiburg
2-1
Stuttgart
Grifo (60' pen., 84' pen.)
Fuhrich (30')
Aug 20, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 3
Stuttgart
0-1
Freiburg

Sosa (15'), Fuhrich (28'), Ahamada (46'), Mavropanos (90+8')
Grifo (11')
Sallai (28'), Keitel (84')
Jan 22, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 20
Freiburg
2-0
Stuttgart
Ito (37' og.), Schade (72')
Hofler (24')

Sosa (90+4')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202


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