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Bundesliga | Gameweek 1
Aug 24, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Schwarzwald-Stadion
Stuttgart

Freiburg
3 - 1
Stuttgart

Kubler (26', 61'), Doan (54')
Adamu (41'), Lienhart (57')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Demirovic (2')
Mittelstadt (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Freiburg and Stuttgart, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Freiburg

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Osnabruck 0-4 Freiburg
Saturday, August 17 at 2.30pm in DFB-Pokal

Stuttgart

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 2-2 Stuttgart (4-3 pen.)
Saturday, August 17 at 7.30pm in DFL-Supercup

We said: Freiburg 2-2 Stuttgart

 The arrival of new boss Schuster could be a welcome boost for Freiburg, and they could continue to benefit from his fresh ideas. Stuttgart could also have a hangover from their penalty-shootout defeat last week against Bayer Leverkusen, and it would not be surprising if they dropped points on their opening matchday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 49.57%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 28.6% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.4%) and 0-2 (6.3%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 2-1 (6.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.

Result
FreiburgDrawStuttgart
28.6% (0.353 0.35) 21.83% (0.136 0.14) 49.57% (-0.486 -0.49)
Both teams to score 66.02% (-0.232 -0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.55% (-0.41799999999999 -0.42)33.45% (0.421 0.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.76% (-0.48 -0.48)55.24% (0.483 0.48)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.73% (0.007000000000005 0.01)23.27% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.8% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)57.2% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Stuttgart Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.04% (-0.307 -0.31)13.96% (0.31 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.56% (-0.608 -0.61)41.44% (0.611 0.61)
Score Analysis
    Freiburg 28.6%
    Stuttgart 49.57%
    Draw 21.83%
FreiburgDrawStuttgart
2-1 @ 6.8% (0.074999999999999 0.07)
1-0 @ 4.74% (0.105 0.11)
2-0 @ 3.45% (0.077 0.08)
3-1 @ 3.3% (0.037 0.04)
3-2 @ 3.25%
3-0 @ 1.68% (0.038 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.2% (0.013 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.19%
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 28.6%
1-1 @ 9.32% (0.102 0.1)
2-2 @ 6.69% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 3.25% (0.071 0.07)
3-3 @ 2.14% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 21.83%
1-2 @ 9.18% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-1 @ 6.4% (0.069 0.07)
0-2 @ 6.3% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-3 @ 6.03% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-3 @ 4.39% (-0.05 -0.05)
0-3 @ 4.13% (-0.049 -0.05)
1-4 @ 2.97% (-0.069 -0.07)
2-4 @ 2.16% (-0.05 -0.05)
0-4 @ 2.04% (-0.047 -0.05)
1-5 @ 1.17% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-4 @ 1.05% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 3.76%
Total : 49.57%

How you voted: Freiburg vs Stuttgart

Freiburg
23.4%
Draw
14.9%
Stuttgart
61.7%
47
Head to Head
Feb 3, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 20
Freiburg
1-3
Stuttgart
Kubler (45+11')
Streich (21'), Ginter (41'), Eggestein (45+4'), Kubler (90'), Philipp (90+9')
Rohl (18')
Undav (3'), Fuhrich (7'), Mittelstadt (74')
Mittelstadt (72'), Stiller (90+9')
> Preview
Sep 2, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 3
Stuttgart
5-0
Freiburg
Fuhrich (8', 62'), Guirassy (17', 19'), Millot (75')
Ito (38')

Philipp (86')
> Preview
Feb 11, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 20
Freiburg
2-1
Stuttgart
Grifo (60' pen., 84' pen.)
Fuhrich (30')
> Preview
Aug 20, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 3
Stuttgart
0-1
Freiburg

Sosa (15'), Fuhrich (28'), Ahamada (46'), Mavropanos (90+8')
Grifo (11')
Sallai (28'), Keitel (84')
> Preview
Jan 22, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 20
Freiburg
2-0
Stuttgart
Ito (37' og.), Schade (72')
Hofler (24')

Sosa (90+4')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern14103142123033
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1485132201229
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1483334201427
4RB Leipzig148332315827
5Freiburg147342019124
6Stuttgart146532924523
7Mainz 05Mainz146442519622
8Borussia DortmundDortmund146442521422
9Werder Bremen146442224-222
10Wolfsburg146353125621
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach146352319421
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin144551315-217
13Augsburg144461627-1116
14Hoffenheim143561926-714
15St Pauli143291119-811
16Heidenheim1431101831-1310
17Holstein Kiel1412111437-235
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1403111135-243
> Bundesliga Full Table


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