Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 41.96%. A win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 32.57% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.87%) and 0-2 (7.01%). The likeliest Schalke 04 win was 1-0 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.
