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Bundesliga | Gameweek 34
May 27, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Stadion An der Alten Försterei
Werder Bremen logo

Union Berlin
1 - 0
Werder Bremen

Khedira (81')
Laidouni (45+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Philipp (50'), Pavlenka (68'), Bittencourt (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Union Berlin and Werder Bremen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hoffenheim 4-2 Union Berlin
Saturday, May 20 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Werder Bremen 1-1 FC Koln
Saturday, May 20 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Union Berlin 3-1 Werder Bremen

Despite their recent wobble in form, Union Berlin will be regarded as favourites to come out on top against a Werder Bremen side who have been struggling to grind out positive results for some time. Fischer is sure to have a constant eye on Freiburg's result throughout Saturday afternoon, but as long as his side can claim a victory, preferably a convincing one, they should do enough to book their place in next season's Champions League. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 60.16%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 18.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.35%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.26%), while for a Werder Bremen win it was 0-1 (5.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Union Berlin in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Union Berlin.

Result
Union BerlinDrawWerder Bremen
60.16% (0.057000000000002 0.06) 21.67% (-0.022000000000002 -0.02) 18.17% (-0.029 -0.03)
Both teams to score 52.81% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.31% (0.050000000000004 0.05)44.69% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.95% (0.047999999999995 0.05)67.06% (-0.043000000000006 -0.04)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.57% (0.034999999999997 0.03)14.43% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.63% (0.064 0.06)42.37% (-0.059000000000005 -0.06)
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.72% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)38.29% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.96% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)75.05% (0.01100000000001 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Union Berlin 60.15%
    Werder Bremen 18.17%
    Draw 21.66%
Union BerlinDrawWerder Bremen
1-0 @ 10.69% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 10.35% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.94% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 6.68% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.41% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.23% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.1% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.08% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.49% (0.0029999999999999 0)
5-0 @ 1.25% (0.0039999999999998 0)
5-1 @ 1.2% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 60.15%
1-1 @ 10.26% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.53% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.77% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 0.99%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 21.66%
0-1 @ 5.31% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.93% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.55% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.58% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.53% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 18.17%

How you voted: Union Berlin vs Werder Bremen

Union Berlin
85.7%
Draw
10.7%
Werder Bremen
3.6%
28
Head to Head
Jan 25, 2023 7.30pm
Apr 24, 2021 2.30pm
Jan 2, 2021 2.30pm
gameweek 14
Werder Bremen
0-2
Union Berlin

Gross (33'), Selke (53')
Becker (12'), Awoniyi (28')
Andrich (25'), Promel (44'), Hubner (50'), Becker (68')
Feb 8, 2020 2.30pm
gameweek 21
Werder Bremen
0-2
Union Berlin

Selke (16'), Vogt (30'), Toprak (30'), Friedl (80')
Bulter (52', 72')
Trimmel (67'), Promel (80'), Andersson (86')
Sep 14, 2019 2.30pm
gameweek 4
Union Berlin
1-2
Werder Bremen
Andersson (14' pen.)
Trimmel (54'), Subotic (80')
Subotic (89')
Klaassen (5' pen.), Fullkrug (55')
Fullkrug (19'), Sahin (76'), Bittencourt (83')
Sahin (91')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern16123148133539
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen16105140231735
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1693436231330
4RB Leipzig169342822630
5Mainz 05Mainz1684430201028
6Freiburg168352426-227
7Stuttgart167543025526
8Borussia DortmundDortmund167453025525
9Werder Bremen167452829-125
10Wolfsburg167363328524
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach167362521424
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin164571421-717
13Augsburg164481733-1616
14St Pauli1642101220-814
15Hoffenheim163582029-914
16Heidenheim1641112033-1313
17Holstein Kiel1622122141-208
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1613121337-246


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