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Bundesliga
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 34
May 27, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Stadion An der Alten Försterei
Werder Bremen logo

Union Berlin
1 - 0
Werder Bremen

Khedira (81')
Laidouni (45+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Philipp (50'), Pavlenka (68'), Bittencourt (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Union Berlin and Werder Bremen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Union Berlin

All competitions
Last Game: Hoffenheim 4-2 Union Berlin
Saturday, May 20 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Werder Bremen

All competitions
Last Game: Werder Bremen 1-1 FC Koln
Saturday, May 20 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Union Berlin 3-1 Werder Bremen

 Despite their recent wobble in form, Union Berlin will be regarded as favourites to come out on top against a Werder Bremen side who have been struggling to grind out positive results for some time. Fischer is sure to have a constant eye on Freiburg's result throughout Saturday afternoon, but as long as his side can claim a victory, preferably a convincing one, they should do enough to book their place in next season's Champions League. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 60.16%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 18.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.35%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.26%), while for a Werder Bremen win it was 0-1 (5.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Union Berlin in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Union Berlin.

Result
Union BerlinDrawWerder Bremen
60.16% (0.057000000000002 0.06) 21.67% (-0.022000000000002 -0.02) 18.17% (-0.029 -0.03)
Both teams to score 52.81% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.31% (0.050000000000004 0.05)44.69% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.95% (0.047999999999995 0.05)67.06% (-0.043000000000006 -0.04)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.57% (0.034999999999997 0.03)14.43% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.63% (0.064 0.06)42.37% (-0.059000000000005 -0.06)
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.72% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)38.29% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.96% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)75.05% (0.01100000000001 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Union Berlin 60.15%
    Werder Bremen 18.17%
    Draw 21.66%
Union BerlinDrawWerder Bremen
1-0 @ 10.69% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 10.35% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.94% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 6.68% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.41% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.23% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.1% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.08% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.49% (0.0029999999999999 0)
5-0 @ 1.25% (0.0039999999999998 0)
5-1 @ 1.2% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 60.15%
1-1 @ 10.26% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.53% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.77% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 0.99%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 21.66%
0-1 @ 5.31% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.93% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.55% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.58% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.53% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 18.17%

How you voted: Union Berlin vs Werder Bremen

Union Berlin
85.7%
Draw
10.7%
Werder Bremen
3.6%
28
Head to Head
Jan 25, 2023 7.30pm
gameweek 17
Werder Bremen
1-2
Union Berlin
Pieper (13')
Haberer (18'), Behrens (46')
Apr 24, 2021 2.30pm
gameweek 31
Union Berlin
3-1
Werder Bremen
Pohjanpalo (50', 53', 67')
Gebre Selassie (82')
Jan 2, 2021 2.30pm
gameweek 14
Werder Bremen
0-2
Union Berlin

Gross (33'), Selke (53')
Becker (12'), Awoniyi (28')
Andrich (25'), Promel (44'), Hubner (50'), Becker (68')
Feb 8, 2020 2.30pm
gameweek 21
Werder Bremen
0-2
Union Berlin

Selke (16'), Vogt (30'), Toprak (30'), Friedl (80')
Bulter (52', 72')
Trimmel (67'), Promel (80'), Andersson (86')
Sep 14, 2019 2.30pm
gameweek 4
Union Berlin
1-2
Werder Bremen
Andersson (14' pen.)
Trimmel (54'), Subotic (80')
Subotic (89')
Klaassen (5' pen.), Fullkrug (55')
Fullkrug (19'), Sahin (76'), Bittencourt (83')
Sahin (91')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202
> Bundesliga Full Table


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