Union Berlin1 - 0Werder Bremen
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, May 20 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, May 20 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
We said: Union Berlin 3-1 Werder Bremen
Despite their recent wobble in form, Union Berlin will be regarded as favourites to come out on top against a Werder Bremen side who have been struggling to grind out positive results for some time. Fischer is sure to have a constant eye on Freiburg's result throughout Saturday afternoon, but as long as his side can claim a victory, preferably a convincing one, they should do enough to book their place in next season's Champions League. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 60.16%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 18.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.35%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.26%), while for a Werder Bremen win it was 0-1 (5.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Union Berlin in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Union Berlin.
| Result | ||
| Union Berlin | Draw | Werder Bremen |
60.16% ( 0.06) | 21.67% ( -0.02) | 18.17% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 52.81% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.31% ( 0.05) | 44.69% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.95% ( 0.05) | 67.06% ( -0.04) |
| Union Berlin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.57% ( 0.03) | 14.43% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 57.63% ( 0.06) | 42.37% ( -0.06) |
| Werder Bremen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.72% ( -0) | 38.29% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 24.96% ( -0.01) | 75.05% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Union Berlin | Draw | Werder Bremen |
| 1-0 @ 10.69% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 10.35% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.94% ( 0)3-0 @ 6.68% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 6.41% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 3.23% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.1% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.08% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.49% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.25% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.2% ( 0)Other @ 2.72% Total : 60.15% | 1-1 @ 10.26% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.53% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.77% ( -0)3-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 0.12% Total : 21.66% | 0-1 @ 5.31% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.93% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.55% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.58% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.53% ( -0)Other @ 2.29% Total : 18.17% |
