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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Augsburg win with a probability of 41.87%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 34.5% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Augsburg win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.22%) and 0-2 (5.96%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 2-1 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.67%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Holstein Kiel | Draw | Augsburg |
34.5% ( 0.69) | 23.63% ( -0.12) | 41.87% ( -0.57) |
Both teams to score 62.39% ( 0.65) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.51% ( 0.77) | 39.49% ( -0.77) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.17% ( 0.8) | 61.83% ( -0.8) |
Holstein Kiel Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.22% ( 0.74) | 22.78% ( -0.74) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.52% ( 1.09) | 56.48% ( -1.08) |
Augsburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.8% ( 0.07) | 19.2% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.11% ( 0.12) | 50.89% ( -0.12) |
Score Analysis |
Holstein Kiel | Draw | Augsburg |
2-1 @ 7.9% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 6.47% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 4.79% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.89% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 3.21% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 2.36% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 1.44% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 1.19% ( 0.07) Other @ 3.25% Total : 34.5% | 1-1 @ 10.67% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 6.52% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 4.38% ( -0.16) 3-3 @ 1.77% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.63% | 1-2 @ 8.81% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 7.22% ( -0.25) 0-2 @ 5.96% ( -0.19) 1-3 @ 4.85% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 3.58% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 3.28% ( -0.1) 1-4 @ 2% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.48% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.35% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.35% Total : 41.87% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 47 | 13 | 34 | 36 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 37 | 21 | 16 | 32 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 27 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 27 |
5 | Mainz 05Mainz | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 25 |
6 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 22 | 6 | 25 |
7 | Werder Bremen | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
8 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 20 | 5 | 24 |
9 | Freiburg | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 24 |
10 | Stuttgart | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Wolfsburg | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 21 |
12 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 17 |
13 | Augsburg | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 16 |
14 | St Pauli | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 14 |
16 | Heidenheim | 15 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 10 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 8 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 13 | 35 | -22 | 6 |
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