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Bundesliga | Gameweek 15
Dec 21, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Holstein-Stadion
Augsburg logo

Holstein Kiel
5 - 1
Augsburg

Rosenboom (12'), Harres (32', 35'), Machino (39', 90+1')
Rapp (31')
FT(HT: 4-1)
Claude-Maurice (5')
Wolf (29'), Giannoulis (68'), Vargas (83'), Mounie (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Holstein Kiel and Augsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Borussia M'bach 4-1 Holstein Kiel
Saturday, December 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Augsburg 0-2 B. Leverkusen
Saturday, December 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Holstein Kiel 1-2 Augsburg

Augsburg's away form has been a cause for concern, with their last victory on the road coming nine months ago. However, Kiel's defensive frailties present a golden opportunity for the Bavarians to rediscover their winning touch and condemn the promoted side to their 12th defeat this term. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Augsburg win with a probability of 41.87%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 34.5% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Augsburg win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.22%) and 0-2 (5.96%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 2-1 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.67%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.

Result
Holstein KielDrawAugsburg
34.5% (0.69 0.69) 23.63% (-0.121 -0.12) 41.87% (-0.568 -0.57)
Both teams to score 62.39% (0.653 0.65)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.51% (0.77 0.77)39.49% (-0.768 -0.77)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.17% (0.799 0.8)61.83% (-0.796 -0.8)
Holstein Kiel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.22% (0.741 0.74)22.78% (-0.74 -0.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.52% (1.085 1.09)56.48% (-1.082 -1.08)
Augsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.8% (0.073000000000008 0.07)19.2% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.11% (0.12 0.12)50.89% (-0.117 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    Holstein Kiel 34.5%
    Augsburg 41.87%
    Draw 23.63%
Holstein KielDrawAugsburg
2-1 @ 7.9% (0.081 0.08)
1-0 @ 6.47% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-0 @ 4.79% (0.039 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.89% (0.123 0.12)
3-2 @ 3.21% (0.109 0.11)
3-0 @ 2.36% (0.07 0.07)
4-1 @ 1.44% (0.076 0.08)
4-2 @ 1.19% (0.065 0.07)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 34.5%
1-1 @ 10.67% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-2 @ 6.52% (0.081 0.08)
0-0 @ 4.38% (-0.159 -0.16)
3-3 @ 1.77% (0.064 0.06)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 23.63%
1-2 @ 8.81% (-0.083 -0.08)
0-1 @ 7.22% (-0.245 -0.25)
0-2 @ 5.96% (-0.189 -0.19)
1-3 @ 4.85% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-3 @ 3.58% (0.053 0.05)
0-3 @ 3.28% (-0.096 -0.1)
1-4 @ 2% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.48% (0.025 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.35% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 41.87%

How you voted: Holstein Kiel vs Augsburg

Holstein Kiel
20.8%
Draw
25.0%
Augsburg
54.2%
24
Head to Head
Feb 6, 2019 5.30pm
Round of 16
Holstein Kiel
0-1
Augsburg
Gregoritsch (85')
Gotze (38'), Dong-won (77'), Hahn (84')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern15113147133436
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1595137211632
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1583435231227
4RB Leipzig158342420427
5Mainz 05Mainz157442820825
6Borussia DortmundDortmund157442822625
7Werder Bremen157442625125
8Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach157352520524
9Freiburg157352124-324
10Stuttgart156542925423
11Wolfsburg156363228421
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin154561419-517
13Augsburg154471732-1516
14St Pauli154291219-714
15Hoffenheim153572028-814
16Heidenheim1531111833-1510
17Holstein Kiel1522111938-198
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1513111335-226


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