MX23RW : Sunday, January 12 22:35:50| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 18
Jan 8, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
Red Bull Arena
Mainz logo

RB Leipzig
4 - 1
Mainz 05

Silva (21' pen., 61'), Szoboszlai (47'), Nkunku (58')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Jae-sung (57')
Jae-sung (16'), Bell (59')
Hack (19')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between RB Leipzig and Mainz 05, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: RB Leipzig 2-1 Mainz 05

Mainz have been extremely impressive this season and have proved to be a difficult opponent for whoever they have faced, so this will be no different on Saturday. However, with Leipzig having home advantage, as well as the visitors having two key defenders missing, we are predicting a narrow home win in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 61.83%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 17.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.93%) and 1-0 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.65%), while for a Mainz 05 win it was 1-2 (4.83%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.

Result
RB LeipzigDrawMainz 05
61.83%20.6%17.56%
Both teams to score 55.24%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.11%40.89%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.72%63.28%
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.29%12.71%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.07%38.93%
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.28%36.72%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.49%73.5%
Score Analysis
    RB Leipzig 61.83%
    Mainz 05 17.56%
    Draw 20.6%
RB LeipzigDrawMainz 05
2-1 @ 9.95%
2-0 @ 9.93%
1-0 @ 9.63%
3-1 @ 6.84%
3-0 @ 6.83%
4-1 @ 3.53%
4-0 @ 3.52%
3-2 @ 3.43%
4-2 @ 1.77%
5-1 @ 1.46%
5-0 @ 1.45%
Other @ 3.51%
Total : 61.83%
1-1 @ 9.65%
2-2 @ 4.98%
0-0 @ 4.67%
3-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 20.6%
1-2 @ 4.83%
0-1 @ 4.68%
0-2 @ 2.34%
2-3 @ 1.66%
1-3 @ 1.61%
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 17.56%

How you voted: RB Leipzig vs Mainz 05

RB Leipzig
78.2%
Draw
10.3%
Mainz 05
11.5%
87
Head to Head
Aug 15, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 1
Mainz
1-0
RB Leipzig
Niakhate (13')
Nebel (48'), Svensson (85')

Kampl (7'), Sabitzer (80')
Jan 23, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 18
Mainz
3-2
RB Leipzig
Niakhate (24', 35'), Barreiro (50')
Niakhate (40'), da Costa (75')
Adams (15'), Halstenberg (30')
Halstenberg (23'), Adams (70'), Orban (88'), Sorloth (90+2')
Sep 20, 2020 2.30pm
Gameweek 1
RB Leipzig
3-1
Mainz
Forsberg (17' pen.), Poulsen (21'), Haidara (51')
Poulsen (64')
Mateta (48')
Mateta (30'), Latza (58')
May 24, 2020 2.30pm
Nov 2, 2019 2.30pm
Gameweek 10
RB Leipzig
8-0
Mainz
Sabitzer (5'), Werner (30', 48', 87'), Nkunku (35'), Halstenberg (39'), Poulsen (44'), Mukiele (50')
rhs 2.0
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Eagles
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern16123148133539
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen16105140231735
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1693436231330
4RB Leipzig169342822630
5Mainz 05Mainz1684430201028
6Freiburg168352426-227
7Stuttgart167543025526
8Borussia DortmundDortmund167453025525
9Werder Bremen167452829-125
10Wolfsburg167363328524
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach167362521424
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin164571421-717
13Augsburg164481733-1616
14St Pauli1642101220-814
15Hoffenheim163582029-914
16Heidenheim1641112033-1313
17Holstein Kiel1622122141-208
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1613121337-246


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