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Heidenheim
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Wolfsburg
Stuttgart
Bundesliga | Gameweek 7
Oct 7, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Mercedes-Benz-Arena
Wolfsburg

Stuttgart
3 - 1
Wolfsburg

Guirassy (67' pen., 78', 82')
Undav (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Gerhardt (34')
Svanberg (5'), Wind (42'), Vranckx (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Stuttgart and Wolfsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: FC Koln 0-2 Stuttgart
Saturday, September 30 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Wolfsburg 2-0 Frankfurt
Saturday, September 30 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Stuttgart 2-1 Wolfsburg

Providing that Stuttgart have their key offensive players available - particularly Guirassy, who has been irresistible so far this season - then we can envisage them moving to the top of the Bundesliga table by recording another win on Saturday. Wolfsburg represent a solid outfit under Kovac, but they remain inconsistent in terms of results, and the former Bayern Munich boss must work out a way to help his side perform better on the road. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 53.47%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 24.54% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.87%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 1-2 (6.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stuttgart would win this match.

Result
StuttgartDrawWolfsburg
53.47% (-0.273 -0.27) 21.98% (0.041 0.04) 24.54% (0.229 0.23)
Both teams to score 61.45% (0.116 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.23% (0.036000000000001 0.04)37.77% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.98% (0.037999999999997 0.04)60.02% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Stuttgart Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.78% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)14.22% (0.072999999999999 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.04% (-0.146 -0.15)41.96% (0.14400000000001 0.14)
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.63% (0.199 0.2)28.36% (-0.2 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.89% (0.249 0.25)64.1% (-0.25 -0.25)
Score Analysis
    Stuttgart 53.48%
    Wolfsburg 24.54%
    Draw 21.98%
StuttgartDrawWolfsburg
2-1 @ 9.67% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
1-0 @ 7.87% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-0 @ 7.67% (-0.055000000000001 -0.06)
3-1 @ 6.29% (-0.026000000000001 -0.03)
3-0 @ 4.99% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
3-2 @ 3.96% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 3.07% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.43% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.93% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
5-1 @ 1.2% (-0.011 -0.01)
5-0 @ 0.95% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 53.48%
1-1 @ 9.91% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.09% (0.024 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.03% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.66% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 21.98%
1-2 @ 6.25% (0.042000000000001 0.04)
0-1 @ 5.08% (0.019 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.2% (0.03 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.62% (0.032 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.56% (0.024 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.35% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 24.54%

How you voted: Stuttgart vs Wolfsburg

Stuttgart
88.1%
Draw
7.1%
Wolfsburg
4.8%
42
Head to Head
Mar 18, 2023 2.30pm
Oct 1, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 8
Wolfsburg
3-2
Stuttgart
Marmoush (23'), Arnold (38'), Gerhardt (90+1')
Guirassy (22'), Mavropanos (45+1')
Apr 30, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 32
Stuttgart
1-1
Wolfsburg
Fuhrich (89')
Sosa (22'), Endo (34'), Karazor (55')
Brooks (13')
Schlager (61'), Nmecha (66')
Dec 11, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 15
Wolfsburg
0-2
Stuttgart

Bornauw (24'), Arnold (79')
Mavropanos (25'), Forster (63')
Ito (41'), Marmoush (71')
Apr 21, 2021 7.30pm
Gameweek 30
Stuttgart
1-3
Wolfsburg
Castro (90+2')
Ahamada (63'), Castro (77'), Cisse (86')
Schlager (13'), Weghorst (29'), Gerhardt (65')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern20163162194351
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen20136149272245
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt20115445271838
4RB Leipzig209653429533
5Stuttgart209563730732
6Mainz 05Mainz209473324931
7Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach209383230230
8Werder Bremen208663436-230
9Freiburg209382736-930
10Wolfsburg208574335829
11Borussia DortmundDortmund208573634229
12Augsburg207582435-1126
13St Pauli2063111822-421
14Union BerlinUnion Berlin205691627-1121
15Hoffenheim2046102640-1418
16Heidenheim2042142542-1714
17Holstein Kiel2033143152-2112
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum2024141744-2710


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