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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 50.17%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 26.69% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.52%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 1-2 (6.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Wolfsburg in this match.
Result | ||
FC Koln | Draw | Wolfsburg |
50.17% ( -0.44) | 23.14% ( 0.09) | 26.69% ( 0.36) |
Both teams to score 59.58% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.78% ( -0.1) | 41.23% ( 0.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.38% ( -0.1) | 63.62% ( 0.11) |
FC Koln Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.41% ( -0.19) | 16.59% ( 0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.61% ( -0.36) | 46.39% ( 0.36) |
Wolfsburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.43% ( 0.21) | 28.57% ( -0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.63% ( 0.26) | 64.37% ( -0.26) |
Score Analysis |
FC Koln | Draw | Wolfsburg |
2-1 @ 9.58% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 8.52% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.65% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 5.74% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 4.58% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 3.59% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.58% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 2.06% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.61% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 0.93% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.34% Total : 50.17% | 1-1 @ 10.66% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.74% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.5% ( 0) Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.13% | 1-2 @ 6.68% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 5.94% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 3.72% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 2.79% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.51% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.51% Total : 26.69% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 31 | 25 | 6 | 0 | 77 | 22 | 55 | 81 |
2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 31 | 22 | 3 | 6 | 89 | 38 | 51 | 69 |
3 | Stuttgart | 31 | 20 | 4 | 7 | 70 | 38 | 32 | 64 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 31 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 73 | 35 | 38 | 62 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 31 | 16 | 9 | 6 | 59 | 39 | 20 | 57 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 31 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 47 | 42 | 5 | 45 |
7 | Freiburg | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 43 | 55 | -12 | 40 |
8 | Augsburg | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 48 | 52 | -4 | 39 |
9 | Hoffenheim | 31 | 11 | 6 | 14 | 55 | 63 | -8 | 39 |
10 | Heidenheim | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 44 | 52 | -8 | 37 |
11 | Werder Bremen | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 41 | 50 | -9 | 37 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 37 | 51 | -14 | 34 |
13 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 53 | 60 | -7 | 32 |
14 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 31 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 26 | 50 | -24 | 30 |
15 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 31 | 6 | 12 | 13 | 37 | 62 | -25 | 30 |
16 | Mainz 05Mainz | 31 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 32 | 49 | -17 | 28 |
17 | FC Koln | 31 | 4 | 11 | 16 | 24 | 54 | -30 | 23 |
R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 31 | 3 | 8 | 20 | 30 | 73 | -43 | 17 |
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