MX23RW : Sunday, March 30 00:22:28| >> :300:86500:86500:
Augsburg logo
Leverkusen logo
Bayern logo
Dortmund logo
Borussia Monchengladbach logo
Eintracht Frankfurt logo
Freiburg logo
Heidenheim
Hoffenheim logo
Mainz logo
Leipzig logo
Stuttgart
Union Berlin logo
VfL Bochum
Werder Bremen logo
Wolfsburg
Wolfsburg
Bundesliga | Gameweek 34
May 18, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
VOLKSWAGEN ARENA
Mainz logo

Wolfsburg
1 - 3
Mainz

Paredes (18')
Wimmer (52'), Majer (71')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Gruda (24'), van den Berg (72'), Burkardt (85')
Jae-sung (12'), Hanche-Olsen (54'), Kohr (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Wolfsburg and Mainz 05, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bayern 2-0 Wolfsburg
Sunday, May 12 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Mainz 3-0 Dortmund
Saturday, May 11 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Wolfsburg 1-1 Mainz 05

With Wolfsburg more or less having nothing to play for besides a mid-table finish, Mainz should claim a point at the Volkswagen Arena to extend their undefeated run to nine and secure next year's Bundesliga participation. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 54.39%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 23.53% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.4%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-2 (6.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.

Result
WolfsburgDrawMainz 05
54.39% (4.958 4.96) 22.09% (-1.276 -1.28) 23.53% (-3.676 -3.68)
Both teams to score 59.84% (0.593 0.59)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.65% (2.52 2.52)39.34% (-2.516 -2.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.32% (2.586 2.59)61.68% (-2.582 -2.58)
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.53% (2.631 2.63)14.47% (-2.627 -2.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.56% (4.855 4.86)42.44% (-4.852 -4.85)
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.96% (-1.504 -1.5)30.04% (1.506 1.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.84% (-1.848 -1.85)66.16% (1.852 1.85)
Score Analysis
    Wolfsburg 54.39%
    Mainz 05 23.53%
    Draw 22.08%
WolfsburgDrawMainz 05
2-1 @ 9.77% (0.224 0.22)
1-0 @ 8.4% (-0.214 -0.21)
2-0 @ 8.12% (0.511 0.51)
3-1 @ 6.29% (0.675 0.68)
3-0 @ 5.23% (0.753 0.75)
3-2 @ 3.79% (0.262 0.26)
4-1 @ 3.04% (0.561 0.56)
4-0 @ 2.53% (0.551 0.55)
4-2 @ 1.83% (0.273 0.27)
5-1 @ 1.18% (0.3 0.3)
5-0 @ 0.98% (0.279 0.28)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 54.39%
1-1 @ 10.1% (-0.7 -0.7)
2-2 @ 5.87% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-0 @ 4.35% (-0.531 -0.53)
3-3 @ 1.52% (0.045 0.04)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 22.08%
1-2 @ 6.08% (-0.699 -0.7)
0-1 @ 5.23% (-0.89 -0.89)
0-2 @ 3.14% (-0.692 -0.69)
1-3 @ 2.44% (-0.396 -0.4)
2-3 @ 2.36% (-0.147 -0.15)
0-3 @ 1.26% (-0.344 -0.34)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 23.53%

How you voted: Wolfsburg vs Mainz

Wolfsburg
Draw
Mainz 05
Wolfsburg
36.8%
Draw
38.2%
Mainz 05
25.0%
68
Head to Head
Jan 13, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 17
Mainz
1-1
Wolfsburg
Widmer (61')
Widmer (3'), van den Berg (46'), Fernandes (56')
Cerny (12')
Vranckx (16'), Jenz (27'), Casteels (54'), Svanberg (79')
Apr 30, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 30
Wolfsburg
3-0
Mainz
Wind (5', 28'), Bornauw (13')
Nov 5, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 13
Mainz
0-3
Wolfsburg
Wimmer (33'), Arnold (70'), Baku (84')
Apr 22, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 31
Wolfsburg
5-0
Mainz
Wind (8', 42'), Kruse (24' pen., 35', 45+2')

Kohr (81'), Hack (82')
Tauer (23')
Dec 4, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 14
Mainz
3-0
Wolfsburg
Burkardt (2'), Stach (4'), Lacroix (90' og.)
Barreiro (78')

Mbabu (82')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern27205278265265
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen27178262342859
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt27146755401548
4Mainz 05Mainz26136744281645
5Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach27134104440443
6RB Leipzig2711974134742
7Freiburg2612683638-242
8Augsburg2710983036-639
9Wolfsburg2710894941838
10Stuttgart27107104744337
11Werder Bremen27106114353-1036
12Borussia DortmundDortmund26105114541435
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin2677122438-1428
14Hoffenheim2769123349-1627
15St Pauli2774162233-1125
16Heidenheim2764173252-2022
17VfL BochumVfL Bochum2746172756-2918
18Holstein Kiel2745183867-2917


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