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La Liga | Gameweek 8
Oct 1, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Civitas Metropolitano
Cadiz logo

Atletico
3 - 2
Cadiz

Correa (32', 66'), Molina (46')
Koke (12')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Pires (12'), Marti (27')
Marti (39'), Sobrino (90+2'), Kouame (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Atletico Madrid and Cadiz, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Osasuna 0-2 Atletico
Thursday, September 28 at 8.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Cadiz 0-0 Rayo Vallecano
Wednesday, September 27 at 8.30pm in La Liga

We said: Atletico Madrid 2-0 Cadiz

Cadiz have only conceded eight times in La Liga this season, and they have made an encouraging start. Atletico are missing a number of important players at the moment, but we are still expecting Simeone's side to secure all three points in front of their own supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 68.1%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 12.52%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.07%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.21%), while for a Cadiz win it was 0-1 (4.41%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result
Atletico MadridDrawCadiz
68.1% (-0.94 -0.94) 19.38% (0.478 0.48) 12.52% (0.461 0.46)
Both teams to score 46.73% (-0.145 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.22% (-0.96 -0.96)45.77% (0.958 0.96)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.91% (-0.916 -0.92)68.09% (0.916 0.92)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.59% (-0.542 -0.54)12.41% (0.541 0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.7% (-1.141 -1.14)38.29% (1.139 1.14)
Cadiz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.35% (0.163 0.16)46.65% (-0.164 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.78% (0.127 0.13)82.22% (-0.127 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Madrid 68.09%
    Cadiz 12.52%
    Draw 19.38%
Atletico MadridDrawCadiz
2-0 @ 12.6% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 12.07% (0.24 0.24)
2-1 @ 9.61% (0.032 0.03)
3-0 @ 8.77% (-0.198 -0.2)
3-1 @ 6.69% (-0.119 -0.12)
4-0 @ 4.58% (-0.203 -0.2)
4-1 @ 3.49% (-0.139 -0.14)
3-2 @ 2.55% (-0.034 -0.03)
5-0 @ 1.91% (-0.127 -0.13)
5-1 @ 1.46% (-0.09 -0.09)
4-2 @ 1.33% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 68.09%
1-1 @ 9.21% (0.223 0.22)
0-0 @ 5.79% (0.233 0.23)
2-2 @ 3.66% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 19.38%
0-1 @ 4.41% (0.197 0.2)
1-2 @ 3.51% (0.101 0.1)
0-2 @ 1.68% (0.082 0.08)
2-3 @ 0.93% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 12.52%

How you voted: Atletico vs Cadiz

Atletico Madrid
87.0%
Draw
11.7%
Cadiz
1.3%
77
Head to Head
May 3, 2023 9pm
Gameweek 33
Atletico
5-1
Cadiz
Griezmann (2', 27'), Morata (49'), Carrasco (57' pen.), Molina (73')
Lozano (72')
Oct 29, 2022 3.15pm
Gameweek 12
Cadiz
3-2
Atletico
Bongonda (1'), Fernandez (81'), Sobrino (90+9')
Hernandez (85' og.), Felix (89')
Aug 4, 2022 8pm
Club Friendlies
Cadiz
1-4
Atletico
Gimenez (87')
Cala (21'), Gil (45+1'), Fali (45+1')
Morata (13'), Niguez (45'), Wass (46'), Griezmann (51')
Griezmann (56')
Mar 11, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 28
Atletico
2-1
Cadiz
Felix (3'), De Paul (68')
De Paul (30'), Carrasco (35'), Mandava (41'), Simeone (41'), Savic (90+1')
Serrano (88')
Negredo (45')
Sobrino (33')
Nov 28, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 15
Cadiz
1-4
Atletico
Oblak (86' og.)
Fernandez (24'), Jonsson (82')
Lemar (56'), Griezmann (70'), Correa (76'), Cunha (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atletico MadridAtletico19135134122244
2Real Madrid19134243192443
3Barcelona19122551222938
4Athletic Bilbao19106329171236
5Villarreal198653431330
6Mallorca199371921-230
7Real Sociedad198471713428
8GironaGirona198472725228
9Rayo Vallecano196762222025
10Real BetisBetis196762123-225
11Osasuna196762328-525
12Celta Vigo197392830-224
13Sevilla196582128-723
14Las PalmasLas Palmas196492429-522
15Getafe194781316-319
16Leganes194781829-1119
17Espanyol2054111932-1319
18AlavesAlaves1945102131-1017
19Real ValladolidValladolid2043131439-2515
20Valencia1927101829-1113


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