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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 65.82%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Stuttgart had a probability of 16.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.92%) and 3-1 (7.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.53%), while for a Stuttgart win it was 1-2 (4.44%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
Result | ||
Bayern Munich | Draw | Stuttgart |
65.82% ( 0.89) | 17.77% ( 0.1) | 16.41% ( -0.99) |
Both teams to score 63.44% ( -2.79) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
70.76% ( -2.5) | 29.24% ( 2.5) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
49.73% ( -3.11) | 50.27% ( 3.11) |
Bayern Munich Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.63% ( -0.48) | 8.37% ( 0.48) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
70.86% ( -1.2) | 29.14% ( 1.21) |
Stuttgart Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.24% ( -2.67) | 30.77% ( 2.67) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.97% ( -3.26) | 67.03% ( 3.27) |
Score Analysis |
Bayern Munich | Draw | Stuttgart |
2-1 @ 9.34% ( 0.26) 2-0 @ 7.92% ( 0.78) 3-1 @ 7.72% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 6.55% ( 0.5) 1-0 @ 6.39% ( 0.76) 4-1 @ 4.79% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 4.55% ( -0.33) 4-0 @ 4.06% ( 0.22) 4-2 @ 2.82% ( -0.27) 5-1 @ 2.38% ( -0.1) 5-0 @ 2.02% ( 0.06) 5-2 @ 1.4% ( -0.17) 4-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.2) 6-1 @ 0.98% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.8% Total : 65.82% | 1-1 @ 7.53% ( 0.38) 2-2 @ 5.5% ( -0.26) 0-0 @ 2.58% ( 0.36) 3-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.28) Other @ 0.37% Total : 17.77% | 1-2 @ 4.44% ( -0.1) 0-1 @ 3.04% ( 0.22) 2-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.28) 0-2 @ 1.79% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.18) Other @ 3.24% Total : 16.41% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 47 | 13 | 34 | 36 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 29 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 27 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 27 |
5 | Freiburg | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 24 |
6 | Stuttgart | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 24 | 5 | 23 |
7 | Mainz 05Mainz | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 22 |
8 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 22 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 22 |
10 | Wolfsburg | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 21 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 21 |
12 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 17 |
13 | Augsburg | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 16 |
14 | Hoffenheim | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 14 |
15 | St Pauli | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 11 |
16 | Heidenheim | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 10 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 37 | -23 | 5 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 14 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 35 | -24 | 3 |
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