Bundesliga | Gameweek 7
Oct 19, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Allianz Arena
We said: Bayern Munich 2-1 Stuttgart
After three consecutive matches without a victory, the international break may have come at just the right time for Bayern, who will know that getting a result here will be crucial to helping them rebuild some much-needed momentum ahead of their trip to Camp Nou in midweek.
While Stuttgart are likely to pose a significant challenge, their away form has not been great during the early season, and we feel that the Bavarians will be able to edge them to the three points in this one.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 65.82% . A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Stuttgart had a probability of 16.41% .
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.92%) and 3-1 (7.72%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.53%) , while for a Stuttgart win it was 1-2 (4.44%) . The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
Result Bayern Munich Draw Stuttgart 65.82% ( 0.89) 17.77% ( 0.1) 16.41% ( -0.99)
Both teams to score 63.44% ( -2.79)
70.76% ( -2.5) 29.24% ( 2.5)
49.73% ( -3.11) 50.27% ( 3.11)
91.63% ( -0.48) 8.37% ( 0.48)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 70.86% ( -1.2) 29.14% ( 1.21)
69.24% ( -2.67) 30.77% ( 2.67)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 32.97% ( -3.26) 67.03% ( 3.27)
Bayern Munich 65.82%
Stuttgart 16.41%
Draw 17.77%
Bayern Munich Draw Stuttgart 2-1 @ 9.34% ( 0.26) 2-0 @ 7.92% ( 0.78) 3-1 @ 7.72% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 6.55% ( 0.5) 1-0 @ 6.39% ( 0.76) 4-1 @ 4.79% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 4.55% ( -0.33) 4-0 @ 4.06% ( 0.22) 4-2 @ 2.82% ( -0.27) 5-1 @ 2.38% ( -0.1) 5-0 @ 2.02% ( 0.06) 5-2 @ 1.4% ( -0.17) 4-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.2) 6-1 @ 0.98% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.8% Total : 65.82% 1-1 @ 7.53% ( 0.38) 2-2 @ 5.5% ( -0.26) 0-0 @ 2.58% ( 0.36) 3-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.28) Other @ 0.37% Total : 17.77% 1-2 @ 4.44% ( -0.1) 0-1 @ 3.04% ( 0.22) 2-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.28) 0-2 @ 1.79% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.18) Other @ 3.24% Total : 16.41%
How you voted: Bayern vs Stuttgart
Bayern Munich
Draw
Stuttgart
118
rhs 2.0
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