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Bundesliga | Gameweek 7
Oct 19, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Allianz Arena
Stuttgart

Bayern
4 - 0
Stuttgart

Kane (57', 60', 80'), Coman (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Undav (53'), Leweling (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and Stuttgart, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stuttgart 1-1 Hoffenheim
Sunday, October 6 at 6.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Bayern Munich 2-1 Stuttgart

After three consecutive matches without a victory, the international break may have come at just the right time for Bayern, who will know that getting a result here will be crucial to helping them rebuild some much-needed momentum ahead of their trip to Camp Nou in midweek. While Stuttgart are likely to pose a significant challenge, their away form has not been great during the early season, and we feel that the Bavarians will be able to edge them to the three points in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 65.82%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Stuttgart had a probability of 16.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.92%) and 3-1 (7.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.53%), while for a Stuttgart win it was 1-2 (4.44%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Bayern MunichDrawStuttgart
65.82% (0.89399999999999 0.89) 17.77% (0.102 0.1) 16.41% (-0.993 -0.99)
Both teams to score 63.44% (-2.79 -2.79)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.76% (-2.497 -2.5)29.24% (2.499 2.5)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.73% (-3.106 -3.11)50.27% (3.108 3.11)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.63% (-0.479 -0.48)8.37% (0.482 0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.86% (-1.204 -1.2)29.14% (1.207 1.21)
Stuttgart Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.24% (-2.667 -2.67)30.77% (2.67 2.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.97% (-3.264 -3.26)67.03% (3.267 3.27)
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 65.82%
    Stuttgart 16.41%
    Draw 17.77%
Bayern MunichDrawStuttgart
2-1 @ 9.34% (0.263 0.26)
2-0 @ 7.92% (0.775 0.78)
3-1 @ 7.72% (0.039 0.04)
3-0 @ 6.55% (0.499 0.5)
1-0 @ 6.39% (0.759 0.76)
4-1 @ 4.79% (-0.09 -0.09)
3-2 @ 4.55% (-0.326 -0.33)
4-0 @ 4.06% (0.22 0.22)
4-2 @ 2.82% (-0.274 -0.27)
5-1 @ 2.38% (-0.102 -0.1)
5-0 @ 2.02% (0.064 0.06)
5-2 @ 1.4% (-0.172 -0.17)
4-3 @ 1.11% (-0.201 -0.2)
6-1 @ 0.98% (-0.066 -0.07)
Other @ 3.8%
Total : 65.82%
1-1 @ 7.53% (0.383 0.38)
2-2 @ 5.5% (-0.257 -0.26)
0-0 @ 2.58% (0.359 0.36)
3-3 @ 1.79% (-0.276 -0.28)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 17.77%
1-2 @ 4.44% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-1 @ 3.04% (0.221 0.22)
2-3 @ 2.16% (-0.275 -0.28)
0-2 @ 1.79% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 1.74% (-0.176 -0.18)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 16.41%

How you voted: Bayern vs Stuttgart

Bayern Munich
83.9%
Draw
9.3%
Stuttgart
6.8%
118
Head to Head
May 4, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 32
Stuttgart
3-1
Bayern
Stergiou (29'), Woo-yeong (83'), Wamangituka (90+3')
Anton (24')
Kane (37' pen.)
Dier (20'), Pavlovic (78'), Tuchel (90+4')
Dec 17, 2023 6.30pm
Gameweek 15
Bayern
3-0
Stuttgart
Kane (2', 55'), Min-jae (63')

Mittelstadt (31'), Karazor (69'), Leweling (82')
Mar 4, 2023 5.30pm
Sep 10, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 6
Bayern
2-2
Stuttgart
Tel (36'), Musiala (60')
Fuhrich (57'), Guirassy (90+2' pen.)
May 8, 2022 4.30pm
Gameweek 33
Bayern
2-2
Stuttgart
Gnabry (35'), Muller (44')
Kouassi (6'), Davies (90+1')
Coman (90+5')
Tomas (8'), Kalajdzic (52')
Karazor (39'), Fuhrich (50'), Coulibaly (74')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202


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