Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 48.49%. A win for FC Midtjylland had a probability of 26.78% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (8.35%). The likeliest FC Midtjylland win was 0-1 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.