Champions League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Aug 8, 2023 at 7pm UK
Stadion Rakow
Rakow2 - 1Aris Limassol
We said: Rakow Czestochowa 1-1 Aris Limassol
This two-legged affair should be very tight, and we are expecting a close match on Tuesday. Rakow will be bidding to claim an advantage on home soil, but Limassol will enter the game full of confidence, and we are backing a low-scoring draw in the first leg. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rakow Czestochowa win with a probability of 59.06%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Aris Limassol had a probability of 18.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rakow Czestochowa win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.41%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.55%), while for an Aris Limassol win it was 0-1 (5.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rakow Czestochowa would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rakow Czestochowa | Draw | Aris Limassol |
| 59.06% | 22.23% | 18.7% |
| Both teams to score 51.96% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
