MX23RW : Tuesday, December 3 15:13:38| >> :600:418088:418088:
Red Star Belgrade
Champions League | League Stage
Nov 27, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
Stadion Rajko Mitic
Stuttgart

Red Star
5 - 1
Stuttgart

Wamangituka (12'), Krunic (31'), Ivanic (65'), Radonjic (69', 88')
Maksimovic (45'), Ndiaye (45+2'), Milojevic (45+2'), Rodic (45+2'), Krunic (52')
FT(HT: 2-1)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Red Star Belgrade and Stuttgart, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Red Star 2-5 Barcelona
Wednesday, November 6 at 8pm in Champions League
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Last Game: Stuttgart 2-0 VfL Bochum
Saturday, November 23 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Red Star Belgrade 1-1 Stuttgart

Neither side has scored many goals so far - averaging under one per game between them - so a tense, close-fought encounter could be on the cards. Red Star have shown flashes of promise and should belatedly pick up their first point, but Stuttgart will surely breach their hosts' leaky back line at least once. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Star Belgrade win with a probability of 47.83%. A win for Stuttgart had a probability of 30.59% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Red Star Belgrade win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.88%) and 1-0 (5.64%). The likeliest Stuttgart win was 1-2 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.86%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Red Star Belgrade would win this match.

Result
Red Star BelgradeDrawStuttgart
47.83% (-0.878 -0.88) 21.58% (0.434 0.43) 30.59% (0.442 0.44)
Both teams to score 68.43% (-1.402 -1.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.12% (-1.925 -1.93)30.88% (1.924 1.92)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.75% (-2.325 -2.33)52.25% (2.324 2.32)
Red Star Belgrade Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.41% (-0.97799999999999 -0.98)13.58% (0.977 0.98)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.3% (-1.987 -1.99)40.7% (1.987 1.99)
Stuttgart Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.18% (-0.71899999999999 -0.72)20.81% (0.718 0.72)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.52% (-1.139 -1.14)53.48% (1.138 1.14)
Score Analysis
    Red Star Belgrade 47.83%
    Stuttgart 30.59%
    Draw 21.58%
Red Star BelgradeDrawStuttgart
2-1 @ 8.84% (0.125 0.13)
3-1 @ 5.88% (-0.134 -0.13)
1-0 @ 5.64% (0.397 0.4)
2-0 @ 5.63% (0.2 0.2)
3-2 @ 4.62% (-0.211 -0.21)
3-0 @ 3.75% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.94% (-0.179 -0.18)
4-2 @ 2.31% (-0.195 -0.2)
4-0 @ 1.87% (-0.071 -0.07)
4-3 @ 1.21% (-0.131 -0.13)
5-1 @ 1.17% (-0.118 -0.12)
5-2 @ 0.92% (-0.116 -0.12)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 47.83%
1-1 @ 8.86% (0.44 0.44)
2-2 @ 6.94% (-0.055 -0.05)
0-0 @ 2.83% (0.294 0.29)
3-3 @ 2.42% (-0.167 -0.17)
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 21.58%
1-2 @ 6.95% (0.198 0.2)
0-1 @ 4.44% (0.372 0.37)
1-3 @ 3.64% (0.024 0.02)
2-3 @ 3.63% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-2 @ 3.48% (0.221 0.22)
0-3 @ 1.82% (0.078 0.08)
1-4 @ 1.43% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.43% (-0.076 -0.08)
3-4 @ 0.95% (-0.088 -0.09)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 30.59%

How you voted: Red Star vs Stuttgart

Red Star Belgrade
18.4%
Draw
20.9%
Stuttgart
60.6%
282
rhs 2.0
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