EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 9, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
Cardiff2 - 2Colchester
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Leeds 2-2 Cardiff
Sunday, August 6 at 2.30pm in Championship
Sunday, August 6 at 2.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Colchester 0-2 Mansfield
Monday, May 8 at 12.30pm in League Two
Monday, May 8 at 12.30pm in League Two
We say: Cardiff City 2-0 Colchester United
Although they were denied all three points by a last-minute equaliser, Cardiff showed some very promising signs against Leeds last week, and we expect them to breeze through on Wednesday night. Colchester were very poor in League Two last season, and while it is difficult to gauge whether they have improved since then, they are unlikely to win away against a team two divisions above them. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 41.1%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 31.66% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 0-1 (9.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%).
| Result | ||
| Cardiff City | Draw | Colchester United |
41.1% ( 0.02) | 27.23% ( 0) | 31.66% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 49.39% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
