Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 38.21%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 34.28% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.13%) and 0-2 (6.96%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 1-0 (10.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Watford would win this match.