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Championship header 2

Championship
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Championship | Gameweek 40
Apr 1, 2024 at 8pm UK
Elland Road
Hull logo

Leeds
3 - 1
Hull City

Byram (9'), Summerville (88' pen.), James (90+7')
Firpo (27'), Summerville (89')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Carvalho (34')
Tufan (54'), Michael Seri (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Leeds United and Hull City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Leeds United

All competitions
Championship
Last Game: Watford 2-2 Leeds
Friday, March 29 at 8pm in Championship

Hull City

All competitions
Last Game: Hull City 0-2 Stoke
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Leeds United 2-0 Hull City

 At some point, this Hull side may click back into gear given the quality that they have in the final third. However, this is the worst possible game for them at this stage, and we do not see them challenging a relentless Leeds side at Elland Road. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 66.49%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Hull City had a probability of 13.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.28%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.36%), while for a Hull City win it was 0-1 (4.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawHull City
66.49% (-0.11499999999999 -0.11) 19.69% (0.105 0.11) 13.81% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Both teams to score 49.38% (-0.33000000000001 -0.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.81% (-0.452 -0.45)44.18% (0.449 0.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.44% (-0.441 -0.44)66.56% (0.438 0.44)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.61% (-0.16900000000001 -0.17)12.39% (0.166 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.74% (-0.348 -0.35)38.26% (0.346 0.35)
Hull City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.37% (-0.27 -0.27)43.63% (0.266 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.18% (-0.224 -0.22)79.82% (0.22199999999999 0.22)
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 66.48%
    Hull City 13.81%
    Draw 19.69%
Leeds UnitedDrawHull City
2-0 @ 11.78% (0.08 0.08)
1-0 @ 11.28% (0.14 0.14)
2-1 @ 9.78% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 8.21% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 6.81% (-0.048 -0.05)
4-0 @ 4.28% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-1 @ 3.55% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.82% (-0.041 -0.04)
5-0 @ 1.79% (-0.022 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.48% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.47% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 66.48%
1-1 @ 9.36% (0.054 0.05)
0-0 @ 5.41% (0.105 0.11)
2-2 @ 4.05% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 19.69%
0-1 @ 4.48% (0.055 0.05)
1-2 @ 3.88% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.86% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.12% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.07% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 1.39%
Total : 13.81%

How you voted: Leeds vs Hull City

Leeds United
86.6%
Draw
9.3%
Hull City
4.1%
97
Head to Head
Sep 20, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Hull City
0-0
Leeds
Rosenior (0'), Twine (54'), Connolly (69'), Philogene-Bidace (80')
Rodon (43'), Ampadu (52'), Ayling (90+1'), Ayling (90')
Rodon (60')
> Preview
Sep 16, 2020 7.45pm
Second Round
Leeds
1-1
Hull City
 Hull City win 9-8 on penalties
Alioski (90+3')
Alioski (45+1')
Wilks (5')
Scott (90+2')
> Match Report
Feb 29, 2020 12.30pm
Gameweek 36
Hull City
0-4
Leeds
> Match Report
Dec 10, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 21
Leeds
2-0
Hull City
> Match Report
Dec 29, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 25
Leeds
0-2
Hull City

Forshaw (48'), Phillips (61'), Jansson (74')
Bowen (25', 58')
Kane (47'), Grosicki (74')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310
> Championship Full Table


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