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Championship | Gameweek 40
Apr 1, 2024 at 8pm UK
Elland Road
Hull logo

Leeds
3 - 1
Hull City

Byram (9'), Summerville (88' pen.), James (90+7')
Firpo (27'), Summerville (89')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Carvalho (34')
Tufan (54'), Michael Seri (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Leeds United and Hull City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hull City 0-2 Stoke
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Leeds United 2-0 Hull City

At some point, this Hull side may click back into gear given the quality that they have in the final third. However, this is the worst possible game for them at this stage, and we do not see them challenging a relentless Leeds side at Elland Road. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 66.49%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Hull City had a probability of 13.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.28%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.36%), while for a Hull City win it was 0-1 (4.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawHull City
66.49% (-0.11499999999999 -0.11) 19.69% (0.105 0.11) 13.81% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Both teams to score 49.38% (-0.33000000000001 -0.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.81% (-0.452 -0.45)44.18% (0.449 0.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.44% (-0.441 -0.44)66.56% (0.438 0.44)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.61% (-0.16900000000001 -0.17)12.39% (0.166 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.74% (-0.348 -0.35)38.26% (0.346 0.35)
Hull City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.37% (-0.27 -0.27)43.63% (0.266 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.18% (-0.224 -0.22)79.82% (0.22199999999999 0.22)
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 66.48%
    Hull City 13.81%
    Draw 19.69%
Leeds UnitedDrawHull City
2-0 @ 11.78% (0.08 0.08)
1-0 @ 11.28% (0.14 0.14)
2-1 @ 9.78% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 8.21% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 6.81% (-0.048 -0.05)
4-0 @ 4.28% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-1 @ 3.55% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.82% (-0.041 -0.04)
5-0 @ 1.79% (-0.022 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.48% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.47% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 66.48%
1-1 @ 9.36% (0.054 0.05)
0-0 @ 5.41% (0.105 0.11)
2-2 @ 4.05% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 19.69%
0-1 @ 4.48% (0.055 0.05)
1-2 @ 3.88% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.86% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.12% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.07% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 1.39%
Total : 13.81%

How you voted: Leeds vs Hull City

Leeds United
86.6%
Draw
9.3%
Hull City
4.1%
97
Head to Head
Sep 20, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Hull City
0-0
Leeds
Rosenior (0'), Twine (54'), Connolly (69'), Philogene-Bidace (80')
Rodon (43'), Ampadu (52'), Ayling (90+1'), Ayling (90')
Rodon (60')
Sep 16, 2020 7.45pm
Second Round
Leeds
1-1
Hull City
Hull City win 9-8 on penalties
Alioski (90+3')
Alioski (45+1')
Wilks (5')
Scott (90+2')
Feb 29, 2020 12.30pm
Dec 10, 2019 7.45pm
Dec 29, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 25
Leeds
0-2
Hull City

Forshaw (48'), Phillips (61'), Jansson (74')
Bowen (25', 58')
Kane (47'), Grosicki (74')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd21145230111945
2Leeds UnitedLeeds21126337152242
3Burnley2111822681841
4Sunderland21117332171540
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2011452517837
6Middlesbrough21104735251034
7Watford2010462926334
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Bristol City216962626027
11Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
12Norwich CityNorwich216873632426
13Millwall206772018225
14Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
15Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
16Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
17Preston North EndPreston2141162127-623
18Queens Park RangersQPR2141072127-622
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2046102133-1218
23Cardiff CityCardiff2046101932-1318
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2045111942-2317


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