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Luton Town
Championship | Gameweek 14
Nov 6, 2024 at 8pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
Cardiff City logo

Luton
1 - 0
Cardiff

Brown (57')
Morris (43'), Mengi (84')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Goutas (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Luton 1-1 West Brom
Friday, November 1 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Cardiff 2-1 Norwich
Saturday, November 2 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Luton Town 1-1 Cardiff City

Cardiff are the clear favourites for this contest and it will come as a surprise if they do not battle their way to a hard-earned victory. For us, though, Luton must surely click into gear at some stage and we are backing them to secure a share of the spoils here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 43.07%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 31.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 0-1 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Luton Town in this match.

Result
Luton TownDrawCardiff City
43.07% (3.131 3.13) 25.09% (-0.041 -0.04) 31.85% (-3.084 -3.08)
Both teams to score 56.3% (-0.777 -0.78)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.95% (-0.608 -0.61)47.05% (0.614 0.61)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.71% (-0.57 -0.57)69.29% (0.575 0.58)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.17% (1.253 1.25)21.83% (-1.247 -1.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.94% (1.869 1.87)55.06% (-1.862 -1.86)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.03% (-2.179 -2.18)27.97% (2.185 2.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.39% (-2.868 -2.87)63.61% (2.874 2.87)
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 43.07%
    Cardiff City 31.85%
    Draw 25.09%
Luton TownDrawCardiff City
1-0 @ 9.29% (0.567 0.57)
2-1 @ 9.01% (0.339 0.34)
2-0 @ 7.07% (0.674 0.67)
3-1 @ 4.57% (0.333 0.33)
3-0 @ 3.59% (0.46 0.46)
3-2 @ 2.91% (0.04 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.74% (0.185 0.19)
4-0 @ 1.37% (0.219 0.22)
4-2 @ 1.11% (0.054 0.05)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 43.07%
1-1 @ 11.84% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.11% (0.156 0.16)
2-2 @ 5.74% (-0.137 -0.14)
3-3 @ 1.24% (-0.061 -0.06)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.09%
0-1 @ 7.78% (-0.286 -0.29)
1-2 @ 7.54% (-0.473 -0.47)
0-2 @ 4.96% (-0.51 -0.51)
1-3 @ 3.2% (-0.418 -0.42)
2-3 @ 2.44% (-0.218 -0.22)
0-3 @ 2.1% (-0.365 -0.37)
1-4 @ 1.02% (-0.207 -0.21)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 31.85%

How you voted: Luton vs Cardiff

Luton Town
48.1%
Draw
16.9%
Cardiff City
35.1%
77
Head to Head
Jan 31, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Luton
1-0
Cardiff
Adebayo (88')
Aug 30, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Cardiff
1-2
Luton
Sawyers (85')
Freeman (47'), Osho (62')
Apr 18, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 43
Cardiff
0-1
Luton

Bagan (55')
Cornick (71')
Naismith (90+3')
Nov 27, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 20
Luton
1-2
Cardiff
Clark (64')
Rea (42')
Colwill (10'), Morrison (77')
Morrison (38'), Smithies (85')
Feb 16, 2021 8.15pm
Gameweek 30
Luton
0-2
Cardiff
Wilson (53'), Vaulks (57')
Vaulks (65')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds362210472234976
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd36246651272476
3Burnley362014249103974
4Sunderland361911654332168
5Coventry CityCoventry36168125246656
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom361316746321455
7Bristol City36131494639753
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn36157144137452
9Middlesbrough36148145547850
10Norwich CityNorwich361213115749849
11Watford36147154650-449
12Millwall361212123637-148
13Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds36139145056-648
14Queens Park RangersQPR361111144146-544
15Swansea CitySwansea36128163846-844
16Preston North EndPreston36916113642-643
17Portsmouth36119164457-1342
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd36912153753-1639
19Hull City36910173645-937
20Stoke CityStoke36812163650-1436
21Cardiff CityCardiff36812163959-2036
22Derby CountyDerby3688203549-1432
23Luton TownLuton3687213259-2731
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth36612183673-3730


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