We said: Luton Town 1-2 Sheffield United
Sheffield United come into the sixth round of Championship fixtures with plenty of confidence and momentum, and, although Kenilworth Road is not an easy place to go, we see them returning to South Yorkshire with all three points.
The Hatters are yet to win or score at home this season, and, while they will be somewhat rejuvenated from last week's win at Swansea, they may not have enough to force a share of the spoils.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheffield United win with a probability of 44.65%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 28.36% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sheffield United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.82%) and 0-2 (8.44%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 1-0 (9.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.