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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 50.08%. A win for Coventry City had a probability of 25.1% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.93%). The likeliest Coventry City win was 0-1 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Middlesbrough | Draw | Coventry City |
50.08% ( 0.41) | 24.81% ( 0) | 25.1% ( -0.42) |
Both teams to score 52.51% ( -0.42) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.14% ( -0.36) | 49.85% ( 0.35) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.14% ( -0.32) | 71.85% ( 0.31) |
Middlesbrough Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.07% ( 0.02) | 19.92% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.94% ( 0.04) | 52.06% ( -0.05) |
Coventry City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.57% ( -0.54) | 34.42% ( 0.54) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.86% ( -0.58) | 71.13% ( 0.57) |
Score Analysis |
Middlesbrough | Draw | Coventry City |
1-0 @ 11.06% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 9.52% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.93% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 5.12% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.8% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 2.73% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.07% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.94% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.1% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.82% Total : 50.08% | 1-1 @ 11.79% 0-0 @ 6.86% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 5.08% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.8% | 0-1 @ 7.31% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.29% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 3.9% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.17% Total : 25.1% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 31 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 31 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 29 |
4 | Burnley | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 27 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Watford | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 25 |
7 | Middlesbrough | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 24 |
8 | Millwall | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 23 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 22 |
11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 19 |
12 | Derby CountyDerby | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 19 |
13 | Stoke CityStoke | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 19 |
14 | Norwich CityNorwich | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 18 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 18 |
16 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 17 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 16 |
18 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 16 |
19 | Hull City | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 15 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 15 |
21 | Luton TownLuton | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 15 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 10 |
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