Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 36.28%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 36.11% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.87%) and 2-0 (6.54%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 0-1 (10.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Coventry City would win this match.