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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 40.72%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 32.41% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Burnley win was 0-1 (9.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.
Result | ||
Swansea City | Draw | Burnley |
40.72% ( 1.3) | 26.86% ( -0.19) | 32.41% ( -1.12) |
Both teams to score 50.74% ( 0.27) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.68% ( 0.48) | 54.31% ( -0.49) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.29% ( 0.4) | 75.7% ( -0.4) |
Swansea City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.77% ( 0.93) | 26.22% ( -0.94) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.67% ( 1.24) | 61.32% ( -1.24) |
Burnley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.77% ( -0.51) | 31.22% ( 0.5) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.43% ( -0.59) | 67.56% ( 0.59) |
Score Analysis |
Swansea City | Draw | Burnley |
1-0 @ 10.95% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 8.54% ( 0.17) 2-0 @ 7.34% ( 0.25) 3-1 @ 3.81% ( 0.18) 3-0 @ 3.27% ( 0.19) 3-2 @ 2.22% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 1.28% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 1.1% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.22% Total : 40.71% | 1-1 @ 12.75% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 8.19% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 4.97% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.85% | 0-1 @ 9.53% ( -0.32) 1-2 @ 7.43% ( -0.15) 0-2 @ 5.55% ( -0.27) 1-3 @ 2.88% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.13) 2-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.95% Total : 32.41% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 48 | 19 | 29 | 53 |
2 | Burnley | 26 | 14 | 10 | 2 | 31 | 9 | 22 | 52 |
3 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 36 | 17 | 19 | 52 |
4 | Sunderland | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 39 | 22 | 17 | 50 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 41 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 26 | 9 | 13 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 40 |
7 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 39 |
8 | Bristol City | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 37 |
9 | Watford | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 35 | 36 | -1 | 37 |
10 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 37 |
11 | Norwich CityNorwich | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 43 | 37 | 6 | 36 |
12 | Swansea CitySwansea | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 34 |
13 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 26 | 7 | 11 | 8 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 32 |
14 | Millwall | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 30 |
15 | Preston North EndPreston | 26 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 30 |
16 | Coventry CityCoventry | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 29 |
17 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 28 | 40 | -12 | 28 |
18 | Derby CountyDerby | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 31 | 35 | -4 | 27 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 27 |
20 | Luton TownLuton | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 27 | 44 | -17 | 25 |
21 | Portsmouth | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 23 |
22 | Hull City | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 25 | 36 | -11 | 23 |
23 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 25 | 40 | -15 | 23 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 25 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 24 | 53 | -29 | 20 |
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