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Championship | Gameweek 26
Jan 2, 2023 at 3pm UK
Swansea.com Stadium
Burnley logo

Swansea
1 - 2
Burnley

Cooper (27')
Darling (12'), Allen (45+2'), Latibeaudiere (79')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Maatsen (13', 22')
Brownhill (41'), Beyer (58'), Berg Gudmundsson (79'), Barnes (90+5'), Benson (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Swansea City and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Swansea 4-0 Watford
Friday, December 30 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 0-1 Burnley
Friday, December 30 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Swansea City 1-3 Burnley

Both sides head into Monday's contest in high spirits, but league leaders Burnley will be regarded as strong favourites to kick-start 2023 with another victory. Indeed, the Clarets have looked unstoppable in recent weeks and although Swansea boast a good record on home soil, we believe that Kompany and co will get the job done at the Liberty Stadium and maintain their position at the Championship summit. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 40.72%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 32.41% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Burnley win was 0-1 (9.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.

Result
Swansea CityDrawBurnley
40.72% (1.299 1.3) 26.86% (-0.185 -0.19) 32.41% (-1.122 -1.12)
Both teams to score 50.74% (0.274 0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.68% (0.48099999999999 0.48)54.31% (-0.487 -0.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.29% (0.398 0.4)75.7% (-0.40300000000001 -0.4)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.77% (0.93299999999999 0.93)26.22% (-0.939 -0.94)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.67% (1.235 1.24)61.32% (-1.241 -1.24)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.77% (-0.508 -0.51)31.22% (0.503 0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.43% (-0.593 -0.59)67.56% (0.58800000000001 0.59)
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 40.71%
    Burnley 32.41%
    Draw 26.85%
Swansea CityDrawBurnley
1-0 @ 10.95% (0.08 0.08)
2-1 @ 8.54% (0.173 0.17)
2-0 @ 7.34% (0.248 0.25)
3-1 @ 3.81% (0.175 0.18)
3-0 @ 3.27% (0.194 0.19)
3-2 @ 2.22% (0.072 0.07)
4-1 @ 1.28% (0.091 0.09)
4-0 @ 1.1% (0.092 0.09)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 40.71%
1-1 @ 12.75% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-0 @ 8.19% (-0.157 -0.16)
2-2 @ 4.97% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.85%
0-1 @ 9.53% (-0.318 -0.32)
1-2 @ 7.43% (-0.15 -0.15)
0-2 @ 5.55% (-0.265 -0.27)
1-3 @ 2.88% (-0.099 -0.1)
0-3 @ 2.15% (-0.134 -0.13)
2-3 @ 1.93% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 32.41%

How you voted: Swansea vs Burnley

Swansea City
14.3%
Draw
10.0%
Burnley
75.7%
70
Head to Head
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
Burnley
4-0
Swansea
Vitinho (15'), Rodriguez (29', 57'), Zaroury (45+3')

Sorinola (23')
Feb 10, 2018 3pm
Nov 18, 2017 3pm
Burnley
2-0
Swansea
Cork (29'), Barnes (39')
Ward (17')

Dyer (97')
Mar 4, 2017 3pm
Swansea
3-2
Burnley
Llorente (13', 92'), Olsson (70')
Fer (57'), Cork (85')
Gray (20' pen., 61')
Ward (9'), Mee (54')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Browns
32-41
Broncos
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1812422591638
2Burnley1810622361736
3Leeds UnitedLeeds18105331131835
4Sunderland1896326131333
5Middlesbrough1893632211130
6Watford189362624230
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom1861021912728
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn178452117428
9Norwich CityNorwich186753527825
10Millwall176742015525
11Bristol City186752421325
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds187472227-525
13Swansea CitySwansea186571817123
14Stoke CityStoke185671922-321
15Derby CountyDerby185582224-220
16Coventry CityCoventry184682427-318
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd184682028-818
18Preston North EndPreston183961725-818
19Luton TownLuton1853102033-1318
20Cardiff CityCardiff184591728-1117
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth184591838-2017
22Hull City183691726-915
23Queens Park RangersQPR182971526-1115
24Portsmouth162771830-1213


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