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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 40.72%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 32.41% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Burnley win was 0-1 (9.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.
Result | ||
Swansea City | Draw | Burnley |
40.72% ( 1.3) | 26.86% ( -0.19) | 32.41% ( -1.12) |
Both teams to score 50.74% ( 0.27) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.68% ( 0.48) | 54.31% ( -0.49) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.29% ( 0.4) | 75.7% ( -0.4) |
Swansea City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.77% ( 0.93) | 26.22% ( -0.94) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.67% ( 1.24) | 61.32% ( -1.24) |
Burnley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.77% ( -0.51) | 31.22% ( 0.5) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.43% ( -0.59) | 67.56% ( 0.59) |
Score Analysis |
Swansea City | Draw | Burnley |
1-0 @ 10.95% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 8.54% ( 0.17) 2-0 @ 7.34% ( 0.25) 3-1 @ 3.81% ( 0.18) 3-0 @ 3.27% ( 0.19) 3-2 @ 2.22% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 1.28% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 1.1% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.22% Total : 40.71% | 1-1 @ 12.75% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 8.19% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 4.97% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.85% | 0-1 @ 9.53% ( -0.32) 1-2 @ 7.43% ( -0.15) 0-2 @ 5.55% ( -0.27) 1-3 @ 2.88% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.13) 2-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.95% Total : 32.41% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 9 | 16 | 38 |
2 | Burnley | 18 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 23 | 6 | 17 | 36 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 35 |
4 | Sunderland | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 26 | 13 | 13 | 33 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 30 |
6 | Watford | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 30 |
7 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 18 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 28 |
8 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 28 |
9 | Norwich CityNorwich | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 35 | 27 | 8 | 25 |
10 | Millwall | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 25 |
11 | Bristol City | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 24 | 21 | 3 | 25 |
12 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 25 |
13 | Swansea CitySwansea | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 23 |
14 | Stoke CityStoke | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Derby CountyDerby | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 20 |
16 | Coventry CityCoventry | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 18 |
17 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 18 |
18 | Preston North EndPreston | 18 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 18 |
19 | Luton TownLuton | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 18 |
20 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 17 |
21 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 18 | 38 | -20 | 17 |
22 | Hull City | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 15 |
23 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 18 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 15 |
24 | Portsmouth | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 30 | -12 | 13 |
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