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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 60.96%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Reading had a probability of 16.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.71%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.64%), while for a Reading win it was 0-1 (5.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Watford would win this match.
Result | ||
Watford | Draw | Reading |
60.96% ( -0.43) | 22.45% ( 0.05) | 16.58% ( 0.37) |
Both teams to score 47.28% ( 0.6) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.53% ( 0.4) | 50.47% ( -0.4) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.6% ( 0.35) | 72.39% ( -0.36) |
Watford Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.89% ( -0.01) | 16.11% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.47% ( -0.01) | 45.52% ( 0.01) |
Reading Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.36% ( 0.72) | 43.63% ( -0.73) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.18% ( 0.59) | 79.82% ( -0.6) |
Score Analysis |
Watford | Draw | Reading |
1-0 @ 12.83% ( -0.21) 2-0 @ 11.71% ( -0.2) 2-1 @ 9.72% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 7.13% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 5.91% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 3.25% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 2.7% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.45% ( 0.06) 5-0 @ 1.19% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.12% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 0.99% ( 0) Other @ 1.96% Total : 60.96% | 1-1 @ 10.64% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7.03% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 4.03% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.75% Total : 22.44% | 0-1 @ 5.83% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 4.41% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 2.42% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.05) Other @ 1.59% Total : 16.58% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 28 |
2 | Burnley | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 23 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 23 |
4 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 22 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 21 |
6 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 19 |
7 | Watford | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 19 |
8 | Norwich CityNorwich | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 22 | 16 | 6 | 18 |
9 | Middlesbrough | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 18 |
10 | Millwall | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 16 |
11 | Bristol City | 12 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 16 |
12 | Derby CountyDerby | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 15 |
13 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 15 |
14 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 14 |
15 | Hull City | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 14 |
16 | Preston North EndPreston | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 14 |
17 | Swansea CitySwansea | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 13 |
18 | Coventry CityCoventry | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 12 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 12 |
20 | Luton TownLuton | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 12 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 12 |
22 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 12 |
23 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 12 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 9 |
24 | Portsmouth | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 8 |
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