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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheffield United win with a probability of 59.85%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Swansea City had a probability of 18.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sheffield United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.12%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.22%), while for a Swansea City win it was 0-1 (5.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sheffield United would win this match.
Result | ||
Sheffield United | Draw | Swansea City |
59.85% ( 0.14) | 21.62% ( -0.06) | 18.53% ( -0.09) |
Both teams to score 53.64% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.08% ( 0.11) | 43.92% ( -0.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.7% ( 0.11) | 66.3% ( -0.11) |
Sheffield United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.73% ( 0.08) | 14.27% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.94% ( 0.16) | 42.06% ( -0.16) |
Swansea City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.57% ( -0.03) | 37.43% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.78% ( -0.03) | 74.21% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Sheffield United | Draw | Swansea City |
1-0 @ 10.4% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 10.12% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.95% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.57% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 6.46% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 3.2% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.17% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.14% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.54% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.25% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.22% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.82% Total : 59.84% | 1-1 @ 10.22% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.34% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.89% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.04% ( 0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 21.62% | 0-1 @ 5.25% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 5.02% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.58% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.6% ( -0) Other @ 2.43% Total : 18.53% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 30 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 60 | 19 | 41 | 63 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 30 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 41 | 21 | 20 | 61 |
3 | Burnley | 30 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 36 | 9 | 27 | 58 |
4 | Sunderland | 29 | 15 | 10 | 4 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 55 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 34 | 29 | 5 | 45 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 30 | 10 | 14 | 6 | 39 | 27 | 12 | 44 |
7 | Middlesbrough | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 47 | 36 | 11 | 44 |
8 | Norwich CityNorwich | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 49 | 42 | 7 | 42 |
9 | Bristol City | 30 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 38 | 35 | 3 | 42 |
10 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 43 | 46 | -3 | 42 |
11 | Coventry CityCoventry | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 41 | 38 | 3 | 41 |
12 | Watford | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | 40 | 42 | -2 | 41 |
13 | Millwall | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 40 |
14 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 38 |
15 | Preston North EndPreston | 30 | 8 | 13 | 9 | 33 | 38 | -5 | 37 |
16 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 34 | 44 | -10 | 37 |
17 | Swansea CitySwansea | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 32 | 42 | -10 | 34 |
18 | Stoke CityStoke | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 28 | 37 | -9 | 32 |
19 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 33 | 51 | -18 | 31 |
20 | Portsmouth | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 36 | 52 | -16 | 30 |
21 | Hull City | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 29 |
22 | Derby CountyDerby | 30 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 32 | 41 | -9 | 27 |
23 | Luton TownLuton | 30 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 30 | 49 | -19 | 27 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 29 | 63 | -34 | 25 |
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