FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 8, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
Ashton Gate Stadium
Bristol City1 - 1Swansea
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Coventry 1-1 Bristol City
Sunday, January 1 at 3pm in Championship
Sunday, January 1 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Swansea 1-2 Burnley
Monday, January 2 at 3pm in Championship
Monday, January 2 at 3pm in Championship
We said: Bristol City 1-2 Swansea City
Although both clubs have struggled of late, there will be a level of encouragement from their recent results. It remains a difficult match to call, yet we feel that Swansea's greater attacking threat could prove key at Ashton Gate. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 46.57%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 28.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.32%) and 0-2 (7.86%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 1-0 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bristol City | Draw | Swansea City |
28.55% ( 0.41) | 24.88% ( 0.19) | 46.57% ( -0.6) |
| Both teams to score 55.18% ( -0.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
