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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 48.88%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Reading had a probability of 25.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.31%) and 0-2 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.2%), while for a Reading win it was 1-0 (8.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Reading in this match.
Result | ||
Reading | Draw | Swansea City |
25.41% ( 1.19) | 25.7% ( 0.6) | 48.88% ( -1.79) |
Both teams to score 50.1% ( -0.65) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.83% ( -1.42) | 53.17% ( 1.41) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.26% ( -1.21) | 74.73% ( 1.21) |
Reading Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.04% ( 0.27) | 35.96% ( -0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.26% ( 0.27) | 72.74% ( -0.27) |
Swansea City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.23% ( -1.34) | 21.77% ( 1.34) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.04% ( -2.08) | 54.96% ( 2.08) |
Score Analysis |
Reading | Draw | Swansea City |
1-0 @ 8.01% ( 0.49) 2-1 @ 6.24% ( 0.18) 2-0 @ 4.09% ( 0.28) 3-1 @ 2.13% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 1.62% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.4% ( 0.11) Other @ 1.92% Total : 25.41% | 1-1 @ 12.2% ( 0.27) 0-0 @ 7.83% ( 0.43) 2-2 @ 4.76% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.91% Total : 25.7% | 0-1 @ 11.93% ( 0.18) 1-2 @ 9.31% ( -0.17) 0-2 @ 9.1% ( -0.24) 1-3 @ 4.73% ( -0.29) 0-3 @ 4.62% ( -0.32) 2-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.13) 1-4 @ 1.8% ( -0.19) 0-4 @ 1.76% ( -0.2) 2-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.28% Total : 48.88% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 48 | 19 | 29 | 53 |
2 | Burnley | 26 | 14 | 10 | 2 | 31 | 9 | 22 | 52 |
3 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 36 | 17 | 19 | 52 |
4 | Sunderland | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 39 | 22 | 17 | 50 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 41 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 26 | 9 | 13 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 40 |
7 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 39 |
8 | Bristol City | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 37 |
9 | Watford | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 35 | 36 | -1 | 37 |
10 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 37 |
11 | Norwich CityNorwich | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 43 | 37 | 6 | 36 |
12 | Swansea CitySwansea | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 34 |
13 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 26 | 7 | 11 | 8 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 32 |
14 | Millwall | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 30 |
15 | Preston North EndPreston | 26 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 30 |
16 | Coventry CityCoventry | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 29 |
17 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 28 | 40 | -12 | 28 |
18 | Derby CountyDerby | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 31 | 35 | -4 | 27 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 27 |
20 | Luton TownLuton | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 27 | 44 | -17 | 25 |
21 | Portsmouth | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 23 |
22 | Hull City | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 25 | 36 | -11 | 23 |
23 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 25 | 40 | -15 | 23 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 25 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 24 | 53 | -29 | 20 |
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