Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 61.33%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Watford had a probability of 17.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.62%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.12%), while for a Watford win it was 0-1 (5.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.